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@ThePenguinXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #77 (Top 89%) · All time · 30 days horizon How it’s ranked
👤 The 21-year-old trader behind The Penguin. 🌊 Elliott Wave without hindsight. 🎟️ If I’m wrong, you’ll see that too. 💎 https://t.co/SfTcag3Wrk - 10x
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
31
6 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
41.9%
13 correct / 18 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-5.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−7.3%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
5
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+20.6%“$BTC bullish count looking much more likely here 🧪 With an internal wave 1 now appearing complete, this is becoming my preferred count. https://t.co/vQlzl26oGi https://t.co/KKfD1w81vO”
Worst call
-31.4%“$ETH Trade Update 🧪 Liking the PA here, so I’m adding back into the short and moving my stop above the local highs. Added: 60 ETH Total position: 80 ETH TP: $1,819 SL: $1,941 https://t.co/SvuKXUIzdW https://t.co/Yrm28XDIPI”
Every token @ThePenguinXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 29 May 2026
4 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 34 calls since 11 May 2026
23 bullish · 11 bearish
Last called 25 Aug 2026 · 2 calls since 22 Aug 2026
2 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
68 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun 2026, 08:46 | “bitcoin:native 🧪 Pretty simple now in terms of probabilities now. Definitely think the top is going to be in for quite a while now regardless of counts at $127,000. For me this count makes the most sense if we look from 2023 as one standalone impulse with a clear flat as a first ABC. 🤝 What I was looking for before was that flat to be THE LOW however we just breached that. So my thoughts currently is we likely get a double three - flat followed by another form of correction here. What would make the most sense here is for BTC to attack higher levels such as 105K BTC before another breakdown. We can come lower still but that would give alts room to run here which would be best case currently. Expecting some form of range here then a low for BTC around March 2027.” |
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All time · 30d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 08:57 | “bitcoin:native 🧪 Few valid counts here to be honest. - Bearish is nice and simple as an ABC up. Bullish here is kind of at the make or break point for me, very close to that wave 1 top - This is the only way you obviously make it bullish unless you start using nested structures etc which I haven't gone for here. At a very good area for a bounce here with a potential correction completed Elliott Wave wise as well as clearing up some NPOC and singles below which is nice to see. Kind of a waiting game for me at this point but I still favour upside.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $73,548 | 30d | $60,276 | -18.0% | incorrect |
| 29 May 2026, 08:20 | “ethereum:native 🧪 Very interesting and honestly got quite caught off guard by this. For bullish count we can make it as a confirmed impulse expanding variety now. - This is the only way you make it bullish realistically otherwise it'll have to be bearish the whole thing. - What caught me off guard was that potential truncated C for that wave 2. Alas the expanding did play out with unusual externals then followed as a flat for a W2 or a complex of some kind still in progress. Regardless still like upside.” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | $2,003 | 30d | $1,579 | -21.2% | incorrect |
| 22 May 2026, 20:40 | “ABC was not complete yet ✖️ $BTC https://t.co/3TqMwZs9bD https://t.co/7BvSLv7D8L” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 30d | — | — | unscored |
| 22 May 2026, 15:33 | “$BTC 🧪 ABC Looking complete here - Should head up https://t.co/Av5J1HG73K” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,696 | 30d | $64,144 | -16.4% | incorrect |
| 19 May 2026, 17:44 | “$BTC 🧪 Got the pullback we expected however did go deeper than expected. - meaning I likely think this is a wave 4 here instead of a nested wave 3 as depicted below. Ultimately this also ties in nicely to the 85K short zone I'm watching for a larger pullback before the next leg up. Overall trend is still up for me and looking for longs.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $76,778 | 30d | $62,513 | -18.6% | incorrect |
| 16 May 2026, 08:07 | “Seems we went for one more low here on $BTC🧪 However still looks bullish for me and did take some profit at the high. Looking for longs here on an MSB but should be up from here. https://t.co/0FbZ6tHqPc https://t.co/wBph4fcQuv” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $78,375 | 30d | $65,615 | -16.3% | incorrect |
| 11 May 2026, 08:11 | “$BTC 🧪 Still looking like upside here mostly in my opinion until market shows some weakness. LTF I have a small area for longs of PDL and a poor low. Lower would be 78K which is also nice for me. I don't want to see it drop below around 76K because then it starts looking like the alternate bearish count over the bullish count. 🤝 Still going for the bullish count here currently but also do like the idea of shorts soon. Big level to get above for me is 85K. If we get below 73K I'd likely say we head for the 60K lows and move up was corrective.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $80,743 | 30d | $61,215 | -24.2% | incorrect |
