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@TedPillows · Unclaimed · Rank #31 (Top 35%) · All time · 7 days horizon How it’s ranked
Survived 2 crypto cycles. Turning Bitcoin and Ethereum, on-chain data and macro signals into actionable trades. Research: ↓
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Calls
255
8 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
51.4%
131 correct / 124 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.8%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.3%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
190d
5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Best call
+31.0%“$ETH has a decent sell wall around the $1,950-$2,000 level. On the downside, big buy orders have been placed around the $1,800-$1,850 level. If stock market momentum continues, I expect Ethereum to have its big move to the upside. https://t.co/mIQeWVbLiT”
Worst call
-30.2%“$ETH is still holding above its $1,850 support zone. This is a must-hold level for Ethereum; otherwise, it'll end up giving all its gains. https://t.co/nAXJ6UU9rv”
Every token @TedPillows has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 208 calls since 5 May 2026
66 bullish · 142 bearish
Last called 10 Nov 2026 · 130 calls since 7 May 2026
59 bullish · 71 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 11 calls since 8 May 2026
5 bullish · 6 bearish
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
798 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Aug 2026, 12:01 | “Saylor sold $102,000,000 in $BTC last week. This is not Strategy, but Tragedy.” |
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All time · 7d
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 7d |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 3 Aug 2026, 11:59 | “Daily report, Monday, August 3, 2026 I see this morning's Iran relief trade as a European stocks story, not a crypto story, because bitcoin is sitting at a three-week low while the DAX rallies. My read is that crypto is trading its own bad news, the Senate just left the CLARITY Act off Monday's schedule and Strategy remains a seller, so I want BTC to hold $60,000 before I call this dip buyable. In this report: https://t.co/zLknNvDof8 - Trump paused planned strikes on Iran and said peace talks resume today. Brent crude fell 4.4% to $84.03 and WTI fell 5.5% to $79.99, both snapping back from a 20%-plus jump in July. - The Senate left the CLARITY Act off Monday's floor schedule with just five days before recess. If it doesn't pass by Friday, the crypto market-structure bill is parked until September 14, and Galaxy Research has already cut its 2026 passage odds from 50% to 30%. - The relief is uneven. Germany's DAX jumped 1.3% and France's CAC rose 1%, but US futures are only modestly higher, the Nikkei closed down 1.7%, and bitcoin fell 1.7% to $62,400, its lowest since mid-July. - CME FedWatch now prices roughly a 68% chance the Fed hikes rates, not cuts them, at the September 16 meeting. That's up from the low 60s a week ago, because oil is still running 22% higher than a year ago even after today's drop. - The FTSE 100 sat flat while the rest of Europe rallied, because London's index is loaded with oil majors like Shell and BP that lose when crude drops. - Michael Saylor pushed back on reports of a new $5 billion Strategy Bitcoin sale plan on August 1. MSTR still closed Friday at $93.28 after its $8.22 billion quarterly loss and is slipping again in premarket, and the company hasn't bought Bitcoin in five weeks. - Bitcoin's price sits below every major moving average right now, a technical setup I call a danger zone until it reclaims $65,200. - Bitcoin dominance is near 58.5%, still range-bound but drifting toward the low end of the range it's held since last August, which tells me money is hiding in bitcoin rather than rotating into altcoins. - On-chain, a dormant wallet moved $1.04 billion in bitcoin today with no sign it went to an exchange, more likely a custody move than a sale. Bitcoin ETFs saw a $265 million net outflow on the last posted day. - This week's key dates: nonfarm payrolls Friday, CPI on August 12, and monthly options expiration on August 21, all setting up the September 16 Fed meeting. - My bottom line: oil just had its worst day of the year, but only Europe is celebrating. Crypto is trading its own news, a stalled CLARITY Act and a seller in Strategy, and that is the real story today.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 3 Aug 2026, 08:56 | “$ETH is currently in the $1,800-$1,850 support level. This is very crucial for Ethereum to hold, or else it could drop towards $1,700. https://t.co/UWHZl6q2ms” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,838 | 7d | $1,925 | +4.7% | incorrect |
| 2 Aug 2026, 19:04 | “This is how I think $BTC will trade next. $50,000 could happen if the Clarity Act doesn't pass and the yen carry trade unwind starts. https://t.co/CDPKUVejeU https://t.co/kTwHaufAcB” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Aug 2026, 13:42 | “Bitcoin looks weak here. Buyers need to step in, or else things could go ugly. https://t.co/axGWv3L6mK” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,054 | 7d | $65,179 | +3.4% | incorrect |
| 2 Aug 2026, 11:02 | “$SOL is bouncing back. But spot demand is flat. Sign of weakness. https://t.co/f1YzTKO2X0” | SOL | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Aug 2026, 08:15 | “$ETH didn't lose its $1,850 support zone. Ethereum needs to hold above this level, or else a deeper correction could happen. https://t.co/3ZpEJBtOPO” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Aug 2026, 07:49 | “$BTC managed to close above the $62,500 support zone. But Bitcoin still isn't completely out of danger. BTC needs to reclaim $65,000 soon, or sellers could push the price towards $60,000. https://t.co/vCPtHobRe8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 1 Aug 2026, 16:32 | “ETH/BTC daily bearish divergence has been confirmed. It doesn't necessarily mean a crash is coming, but $ETH might start underperforming $BTC from here. https://t.co/vVb6Iff3Fc” | ETH | ▼ Bearish | $1,867 | 7d | $1,921 | +2.9% | incorrect |
| 1 Aug 2026, 12:17 | “$BTC may have one capitulation left against S&P 500. Once that happens, a multi-year uptrend will start. https://t.co/ZxjWsRNo3e” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 1 Aug 2026, 09:13 | “$BTC tapped the $62,500 support zone before bouncing back. Bitcoin needs to hold above this support zone, or else it could drop towards $60,000. https://t.co/c8iwtkK0yY” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 31 Jul 2026, 17:28 | “$BTC has lost its daily RSI uptrend. This looks weak and could result in entire rally reversal. https://t.co/Y5wtvE0dln https://t.co/Lu2LdyEbih” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $63,177 | 7d | $64,714 | +2.4% | incorrect |
| 31 Jul 2026, 16:25 | “$BTC has taken out most of the downside liquidity. There's still one cluster around the $62,000 level, which might be next. But after that, a reversal might happen. https://t.co/X4K8oiqEa0” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 31 Jul 2026, 09:59 | “With Clarity Act odds dropping, the downside rection could happen. For $BTC to pump, a major liquidity event is needed, and the Clarity Act is the only one now. https://t.co/MDWBhmJAfU https://t.co/4YeDLYwCHr” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
| 31 Jul 2026, 08:43 | “$ETH has dropped below the $1,900 level. Momentum is weakening a bit here, but Ethereum is still holding above its $1,850 support zone. As long as it holds, I think ETH is more likely to rally towards $2,000. https://t.co/eGxHlfcj0m” | ETH | ▲ Bullish | — | 7d | — | — | unscored |
