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Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 17 Aug 2026, 13:42 UTC · fetched 3 Nov 2026, 13:48 UTC

Ted

@TedPillows

$ETH has a decent sell wall around the $1,950-$2,000 level. On the downside, big buy orders have been placed around the $1,800-$1,850 level. If stock market momentum continues, I expect Ethereum to have its big move to the upside. https://t.co/mIQeWVbLiT

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,903 at 17 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,896 at 18 Aug 2026, 14:00 UTC.
r = 1895.86 / 1903.01 − 1 = -0.4%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.4% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “$ETH has a decent sell wall around the $1,950-$2,000 level.”
Confidence: 86%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

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Prediction evidence

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