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@RaoulGMI · Founder/CEO Global Macro Investor, @RealVision. Figuring things out at the nexus of Macro, Web3 & the Exponential Age. Not a guru.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
100.0%
2 correct / 0 incorrect · 4 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.24%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+1.5%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.84%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (60) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 100.0% | 91 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −5.1% | 59 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.84% | 66 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
12 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“We've got to the phase where the servicing of debt is everything and recessions or market collapse collapses are not allowed. The answer is to turn on the printing press via the central bank balance sheet or other measures of liquidity. We learned that in 2020 because an indebted system cannot allow the collateral to collapse, but yes, acceleration in liquidity usually requires stress but once you understand this, you understand that stress is the opportunity and not the risk, that's when you buy everything Essentially, the big left tail has been removed from markets. All they have to do is devalue the denominator and assets go up”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 30.8% |
9 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.12 | 59 | 25% |
90 days · stated
“Shorter terms, BTC has broken the downtrend vs NDX... and put in some perfect DeMark lows. (You can get those on Trading View - DeMark 9-13...I love DeMark). 2/ https://t.co/EL0cNbesAz”
“My view for a couple of months is that BTC outperforms the NDX going forwards as fiscal dominance and the need to refinance meets The Everything Code (the need for more liquidity to fund it). As rates broke higher, crypto rose sharply... there is signal in that... 1/ https://t.co/EvwnVW2q03”
“for the first time, all of this thinking can be found in one place. My first book, The Everything Code is out Nov 3rd. You can pre-order it now: https://t.co/dHpuaKcGsl”
“Debasement drives everything. Nothing stops it until AI and robots replace population growth. Nasdaq has beaten the debasement rate by roughly 12% a year... a great asset to own, because tomorrow is always more digital than today. Bitcoin has beaten it by 89% a year. That's why crypto is the super massive black hole of asset allocation. It becomes the most powerful asset we've ever had. The greatest performing asset of all time. This is the crux of my Everything Code framework... why debt forces central banks to debase, why markets endlessly go higher, and why only tech and crypto beat it.”
“Zcash is one hell of a chart... I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. Just kept adding all into the big sell offs and hold, comfy in spot and let the game play out over time. Patience in a secular trend almost always wins if you can manage your emotions. https://t.co/KxTnbfs1QH”
“Zcash is one hell of a chart... I'm still very long Sui, ETH and Sol too. Just kept adding all into the big sell offs and hold, comfy in spot and let the game play out over time. Patience in a secular trend almost always wins if you can manage your emotions. https://t.co/KxTnbfs1QH”
“This is a chart that I watch closely. Bitcoin got over two standard deviations oversold versus Nasdaq and is now sharply moving higher. Let's see but I think over time crypto should outperform the Nasdaq over time. Secular trends like this are super helpful in asset allocation https://t.co/ih4nBuPh9J”
“https://t.co/XlamGJSU77”
“If you want the full version of where my head is at, it’s all here: https://t.co/XlamGJSU77”
“Everything I just described is part of the frameworks I have spent years building. The Everything Code maps debasement. The Exponential Age maps the acceleration of our world. The Economic Singularity is where they both lead. If you want to understand why I hold through all of it, you can go deeper on all of them at: https://t.co/xRbqMfGgLE”
“When the market gets boring and quiet and everyone turns bearish, I like to come back to the story of how I fucked it all up. And I fucked it up a lot of ways, because crypto is genuinely hard. People think the cycles just repeat. They don't. Every one has a different texture, a different context, and it is so easy to get it wrong. I got in back in 2013. Wrote the first ever macro piece on Bitcoin, and bought at $200, straight into a peak right before it slammed down and I felt like an idiot. But I had a thesis. And the mistake was never the thesis. It was letting the noise talk me out of it... selling, trading around it, being clever, when the only thing that ever worked was holding. That is the whole lesson, and it is the one that matters most at times like this. Crypto is one of the only real secular trends that lets you build wealth against the debasement of your salary. And as the Exponential Age accelerates, it matters more, not less. So when the market gets depressing, I do the same thing every time. I go back to the thesis, and I accumulate. Zoom out.”