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Published 18 Sept 2026, 22:56 UTC · fetched 19 Oct 2026, 13:39 UTC
Raoul Pal
@RaoulGMI
In reply to · 18 Sept 2026, 22:56 UTC · context given to the AI
My view for a couple of months is that BTC outperforms the NDX going forwards as fiscal dominance and the need to refinance meets The Everything Code (the need for more liquidity to fund it). As rates broke higher, crypto rose sharply... there is signal in that... 1/ https://t.co/EvwnVW2q03Shorter terms, BTC has broken the downtrend vs NDX... and put in some perfect DeMark lows. (You can get those on Trading View - DeMark 9-13...I love DeMark). 2/ https://t.co/EL0cNbesAzView original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 81232.47 / 81133.49 − 1 = +0.12%d × r = +0.12% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutralOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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