@KookCapitalLLC · @TheKookLetter
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
39
Top 61% · #6 of 9 ranked
Scored calls
30
0 pending · 4 unresolved
Hit rate
40.0%
6 correct / 9 incorrect · 15 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.24%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+7.3%
Equal stake on all 30 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+0.14%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (47) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 39.2% | 23 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −10.0% | 35 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.14% | 35 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
9 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“everyone is scared of quantum again 9 crypto firms just said 6.04m bitcoin:native is "exposed"..... thats $493b of coins supposedly waiting for the first quantum computer now read who signed it > quantus sells a quantum resistant chain > keystone sells hardware wallets > hacken sells security audits the people warning you are the same people selling the fix will it matter one day?? probably, postquant labs is calling 2028 but no machine on earth can crack a single key today arthur hayes nailed it, the real risk is people reusing addresses bitcoin:native is sitting at $81.7k $85k comes way before any quantum computer does”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
62 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.09 | 77 | 25% |
30 days · 4h
“bitcoin:native wicked under $80k and still liquidated $53m in shorts on the bounce..... this thing will send hard soon https://t.co/GsqTCDL98q”
“cpi in an hour and shorts already ate $58m overnight bitcoin:native holds $83.5k..... this thing is about to send https://t.co/lxItI4poEC”
“cpi tomorrow and everyone already got liquidated today bitcoin:native will send with everyone sidelined tomorrow https://t.co/R0ZxStOpYh”
“the us government sent 17,733 bitcoin:native to coinbase prime in 3 days $1.48b..... bitcoin:native down 6.9% the whole time then mara dumped another 996 bitcoin:native on top $81m everyone is asking who is selling now you know once the gov wallet runs dry this thing rips https://t.co/9C0WRkWmfK”
“nobody is watching this chart btc/gold went from 15 to 21 since july..... top was 40 catch up trade is just getting started https://t.co/9jO1go8kzm”
“bitcoin:native $92k is next https://t.co/bgFswpxx62”
“@HYPEconomist still so under the rader ethereum:0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537 going to $200m+ easily”
“spot keeps eating every dip shorts already vaporized theres only one direction now bitcoin:native https://t.co/RanAxCfEb6”