Prediction evidence

incorrectPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 25 Sept 2026, 09:42 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 08:29 UTC

kook

@KookCapitalLLC

In reply to · 25 Sept 2026, 09:35 UTC · context given to the AI

buying more ethereum:0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537 was the right move https://t.co/vNenSjZe9T https://t.co/bD8gD5Y5Ab

@HYPEconomist still so under the rader ethereum:0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537 going to $200m+ easily

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first $tread price at or after publication, $0.8744 at 25 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.8063 at 26 Sept 2026, 10:00 UTC.
r = 0.806314301751537 / 0.874445910492754 − 1 = -7.79%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -7.79% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Memecoins: $tread ($tread)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “ethereum:0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537 going to $200m+ easily”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3