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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
95
Top 5% · #1 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
57
12 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.7%
17 correct / 11 incorrect · 29 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.47%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+197.9%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+2.06%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (88) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 83 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 83 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.06% | 86 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
12 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“The main thesis remains the same. Just having a correction here, this week, where we'll find a bottom somewhere in this week / next week on #Altcoins, #Bitcoin and the indices. After that; we'll rotate back upwards and the next leg up will take place. #Bitcoin's bottom was hit earlier. These are all corrections for buying.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“Ultimately, the game is to find asymmetric opportunities within the markets. If you're monitoring where the world is heading, then there's one final solution that will safe you. Simply buy #Bitcoin. Gold has had it's run, the upwards return forward-looking isn't as positive at all currently due to the upside volatility that we've seen. #Bitcoin hasn't seen that and there's still a lot of demand flowing into the markets. Simply stack #Bitcoin.”
“My expectations going into the coming week is that it won't be as bearish as the consensus is. We've just had a terrible week on the indices. Crypto has seen a relatively normal correction. I wouldn't be surprised if we're hitting the low of this correction somewhere in this week on #Bitcoin and indices and that we'll start to get some momentum again.”
“The markets are selling off during the weekend, as tokenized stocks have dropped substantially over the weekend. Is that a huge problem? That might be the case, however it's quite clear that there's a lot of fear among the markets. Liquidity of tokenized stocks isn't there yet, meaning that these corrections can happen quite quickly in a weekend with widespread demonstrations and all sort of news-related items. Aside from that, from a trading perspective, if there's going to be a continued correction taking place on the markets, I'd be willing to buy the dip on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“There's no need to jump into an overly bearish view if the markets are just consolidating in a normal manner. Next weeks we're likely trending back upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“Today has showcased why reading much about sentiment on social media makes absolutely no sense. Sure, corrections happen. Some are heavier than others. However, this drop on the markets have been relatively shallow and there's nothing to fear about. Very quick bounce upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins and I would assume that we'll likely remain bullish for the coming period.”
“That's a possible bullish divergence on $ETH indicating that we're reversing back upwards here. https://t.co/gcUCxNxvFq https://t.co/fF5aPFAqUz”
“Honestly, I don't fancy the #Bitcoin chart as much, right now. It couldn't break through the $84,000 resistance level and is therefore showing weakness. It seems to be that, if $82,000 is also acting as resistance, the most obvious spot for a long will be <$80,000 as that liquidity is likely to be taken.”
“The #Bitcoin vs. Gold chart is incredible. Bitcoin is still down 50% vs. Gold in terms of valuations. It's comparable to the period in 2023 where we barely broke out of the downtrend and started to go up. What's next? A period of consolidation where some #Altcoins can have their first breakouts and momentum, after which the entire market goes up a lot more.”
“I've covered #Bitcoin yesterday, and I mentioned that we were facing some crucial resistance zones. Couldn't break. Now it did hold support, #Altcoins are having a little bit of a struggle pacing up with Bitcoin, which is normal. Confidence is slightly lost, and that will be back. As long as Bitcoin makes a higher low now, it's very likely that we'll just proceed moving upwards.”
“Older coins can turn around quickly. celestia:native, $STRK, they are all doing incredible and not many people are talking about this. The markets are an ocean of endless opportunities. I'll be surprised to see if the entire #Ethereum ecosystem won't be showing more momentum in the coming months.”
“It's that stage of the markets where #Bitcoin consolidates and #Altcoins are simply generating a way higher return. That's why buying the dip is the game for coming months.”