Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,621 at 14 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,315 at 15 Oct 2026, 19:00 UTC.
3. r = 82315.17 / 81621.18 − 1 = +0.85%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +0.85% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology