Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,432 at 15 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $82,186 at 16 Oct 2026, 08:00 UTC.
3. r = 82186.2 / 81432.02 − 1 = +0.93%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.93% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology