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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
95
Top 5% · #1 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
57
12 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
60.7%
17 correct / 11 incorrect · 29 neutral
Avg return / call
+3.47%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+197.9%
Equal stake on all 57 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
+2.06%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (88) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 83 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −39.0% | 83 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +2.06% | 86 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
134 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“I've stated this before, but #Bitcoin needs to hold above this weekly block and everything is fine. As we've seen a relatively strong bounce upwards on the markets, I don't think we're going to see a lot more downwards momentum. Much rather, I'm looking back upwards. https://t.co/ev05ZUvRzQ”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
90 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.20 | 97 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“Today has showcased why reading much about sentiment on social media makes absolutely no sense. Sure, corrections happen. Some are heavier than others. However, this drop on the markets have been relatively shallow and there's nothing to fear about. Very quick bounce upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins and I would assume that we'll likely remain bullish for the coming period.”
“That's a possible bullish divergence on $ETH indicating that we're reversing back upwards here. https://t.co/gcUCxNxvFq https://t.co/fF5aPFAqUz”
“The most obvious spot is a long <$80,000 for #Bitcoin. Phenomenal bounce since that moment. https://t.co/yUjM6SDcDf https://t.co/oM7jpjJqfI”
“Above this block, everything is fine for #Bitcoin. Even a sweep at $74,800 would be okay, but obviously, much rather you don't want to see that occur. As price is still trading above, I'm remaining bullish. https://t.co/4q6E6DUR0E”
“This cycle will surprise so many in the markets. The talk of the town decides for a lot of investors what they'll be doing and it fuels their emotions. One of the core ones: diminishing returns of #Bitcoin. This cycle must provide diminishing returns. I think it's completely foolish to go for that, especially now that we're facing the big adoption curve when it comes to #crypto that we're likely not going to see again in the coming 10 years. I much rather think that the ones believing the diminishing returns will come will have the same result as buying the bottom of the 4-year cycle in October: they'll be left behind.”
“Honestly, I don't fancy the #Bitcoin chart as much, right now. It couldn't break through the $84,000 resistance level and is therefore showing weakness. It seems to be that, if $82,000 is also acting as resistance, the most obvious spot for a long will be <$80,000 as that liquidity is likely to be taken.”
“Earlier this week we've seen a relatively heavy correction on the #Crypto markets as risk was unwinding from investors holding KOSPI. Now, markets are crashing again in Korea, and therefore, #Bitcoin and #Altcoins are dropping again. Doesn't have much to do with crypto itself, has everything to do with the risk that investors have while holding KOSPI.”
“Interesting spot for #Bitcoin here, now that it's taking out the liquidity beneath the lows as it falls alongside $KOSPI. Ideally, around these ares is where you'd want to become interested into longs. https://t.co/646fLaVyAF”
“The #Bitcoin vs. Gold chart is incredible. Bitcoin is still down 50% vs. Gold in terms of valuations. It's comparable to the period in 2023 where we barely broke out of the downtrend and started to go up. What's next? A period of consolidation where some #Altcoins can have their first breakouts and momentum, after which the entire market goes up a lot more.”
“The total #Crypto market capitalization is just copy/pasting the previous cycle bottom. Massive bullish divergence playing out. The divergence was seen on the MACD and the RSI. Strong push upwards, just enough to be taking the liquidity above the previous high. That's also happening here. Stage of consolidation of multiple months and then we're onwards to a new #Bitcoin all-time high in the next 3-5 months.”
“My general thesis is that I think that a lot of people will be getting trapped in this cycle of #Bitcoin. They'll expect to see diminishing returns and will therefore be selling early. Just to see the markets take of from there. We've seen Gold go ballistic, so why shouldn't #Bitcoin just follow through as it's the biggest financial innovation we've seen in centuries? Be more bullish and be more patient.”
“The markets keep trying to be breaking out upwards. Hasn't happened yet, but it seems to be a matter of time until we'll be seeing a lot of power coming from #Bitcoin. https://t.co/eSkWOcAe6V”
“In times of uncertainty, it's wise to be zooming out on the market perspectives. As long as #Bitcoin remains above these levels on the weekly timeframe, you'd expect to see continuation upwards. Sure, #Altcoins are seeing some bearish momentum overall, but that is quickly going to change the moment that Bitcoin breaks back upwards.”
“I've covered #Bitcoin yesterday, and I mentioned that we were facing some crucial resistance zones. Couldn't break. Now it did hold support, #Altcoins are having a little bit of a struggle pacing up with Bitcoin, which is normal. Confidence is slightly lost, and that will be back. As long as Bitcoin makes a higher low now, it's very likely that we'll just proceed moving upwards.”