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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
53
Top 47% · #9 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
214
0 pending · 3 unresolved
Hit rate
50.9%
54 correct / 52 incorrect · 108 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.09%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+19.3%
Equal stake on all 214 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.10%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.1% | 78 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.5% | 22 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.10% | 28 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
108 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“Ultimately, the game is to find asymmetric opportunities within the markets. If you're monitoring where the world is heading, then there's one final solution that will safe you. Simply buy #Bitcoin. Gold has had it's run, the upwards return forward-looking isn't as positive at all currently due to the upside volatility that we've seen. #Bitcoin hasn't seen that and there's still a lot of demand flowing into the markets. Simply stack #Bitcoin.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
95 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 50 | 25% |
90 days · 4h
“#Bitcoin isn't that bearish. It's also not very bullish, yet. It just needs to take out the high and then we'll start to accelerate. Most likely if US Open is green, we'll start to see outperformance here as we've just witnessed a classic correction on Sunday. To me, higher timeframe based, everything looks like it's a normal correction before the next impulse move upwards to $90,000.”
“There's no need to jump into an overly bearish view if the markets are just consolidating in a normal manner. Next weeks we're likely trending back upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“Today has showcased why reading much about sentiment on social media makes absolutely no sense. Sure, corrections happen. Some are heavier than others. However, this drop on the markets have been relatively shallow and there's nothing to fear about. Very quick bounce upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins and I would assume that we'll likely remain bullish for the coming period.”
“The #Bitcoin vs. Gold chart is incredible. Bitcoin is still down 50% vs. Gold in terms of valuations. It's comparable to the period in 2023 where we barely broke out of the downtrend and started to go up. What's next? A period of consolidation where some #Altcoins can have their first breakouts and momentum, after which the entire market goes up a lot more.”
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”
“Older coins can turn around quickly. celestia:native, $STRK, they are all doing incredible and not many people are talking about this. The markets are an ocean of endless opportunities. I'll be surprised to see if the entire #Ethereum ecosystem won't be showing more momentum in the coming months.”
“We're almost at the end of the correction for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/sAacnsE4J5”
“To be fair, there are multiple assets that are ready to be making a new leg upwards. Ultimately, this comes down to #Bitcoin breaking upwards, for sure. Just having a small eye on the markets, and things like $XPL, $EIGEN, $PLUME and many others are eager for that next push.”
“Quite a boring state of mind for #Bitcoin. Those lows are quite interesting to be breaking beneath to be grabbing liquidity before the push upwards. Other than that, just start trending. Would be fun, personally. https://t.co/X4zKE9YX56”
“We're still in the middle of a relatively shallow correction on the markets. Shallow because #Altcoins continue to do well: $PUMP, $AAVE, $ETHFI. Bitcoin remains bullish on higher timeframes, so if there's the chance that we're getting a correction towards $82,000, probably that's a great spot to be accumulating.”
“$PLUME is doing great and #Altcoins in general keep on having momentum. I wouldn't be surprised if we're going to continue seeing big breakouts, as yesterday hedera-hashgraph:native, ethereum:0xc944e90c64b2c07662a292be6244bdf05cda44a7 and algorand:native did happen. $PLUME is building up for a similar case.”
“During times of uncertainty on social media, but clear technical signs of a reversal coming in. That's when you should be taking the bet on going into fundamentally strong assets. That's why @MNFund_ has been allocating more towards the base asset allocation over the summer instead of trading volatility with the algorithm. More potential upside to be made through $BTC, $ETH, $NEAR and other assets. Many signals are indicating that the markets have flipped into a bull cycle much rather than a continuation of the bear market.”
“At the start of the bull cycle, most people will undervalue the potential upside that's about to come for #Bitcoin and #Altcoins. That's not weird. That's just the nature of markets, as we've just endured a long period of bearish momentum, where it's quite hard to expect to see any upside at all.”
“It's literally a matter of time until we're going to see a strong breakout of $ETH to the upside. https://t.co/EOiWa94SAa”