Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,936 at 1 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $86,281 at 2 Oct 2026, 11:00 UTC.
3. r = 86281.01 / 83935.64 − 1 = +2.79%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.79% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology