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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
97
Top 3% · #1 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
251
47 pending · 9 unresolved
Hit rate
78.5%
197 correct / 54 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+11.62%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+2916.4%
Equal stake on all 251 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+6.77%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (96) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 24% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 78.1% | 100 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −91.1% | 88 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +6.77% | 97 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
633 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“There remains to be a strong bullish divergence on #Bitcoin. The bearish divergence isn't active, in my opinion, as price continues to grind higher. Next breakthrough? Break $65,000 and it's above the 21-Day MA and breaks back in the range. The deviation beneath the range low is over and we're going to be targeting the range high going forward.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.38 | 97 | 25% |
90 days · 30d
“Yields drop. The Dollar drops. I'm sure the overall sentiment surrounding rate hikes will fade. I wouldn't be surprised by a breakout in #Bitcoin, resulting in $ETH running to $2,500 and DeFi waking up. It's finally becoming a better period.”
“I don't think much has changed on #Bitcoin, yet. However, there's clearly a lack of strength, as; - Yields are going up. - Oil is going up. - Nasdaq is going down. There's also a clear bearish divergence (and bullish divergence) at play. Matter of question of which one is going to be the valid one, but if you'd ask me right now, I'd go for the fact that we're going to see a breakdown here beneath $61,000 and make a triple bottom/divergence in July. Ultimately, the entire area of $61,000 is the most important one that I'd like to see hold in order to avoid further downwards momentum.”
“There we go. Trump starts to be busy with the Clarity Act. This should indeed be approved and passed by the Senate. We're all ready for the biggest bull market of our lives in #Crypto & #Bitcoin. https://t.co/n1BGMVZ60C”
“Nothing has changed in the outlook for $ETH. The price tried to break through resistance. Unfortunately, this didn't happen. However, every time it tests the resistance, it becomes weaker. Next test/breakout, I'm still expecting to see it run to $2,500. Until now, it remains to be acting above the 21-Day MA and the 50-Day MA.”
“This correction has, in my opinion, little to do with everything in the Middle East. It has a lot more to do with the Japanese Yield jumping again. I expect to see a breakdown in Yield over the next 1-2 weeks, which would automatically lead to a positive breakout in #Bitcoin. https://t.co/PMM60DwD1n”
“Despite the fact that the #Bitcoin dominance is still at 59%, I'm under the thesis that it's downtrending. Why? Clearly the trend has flipped since the breakdown in the Summer of last year, however, no follow-through has happened. As Clarity comes up and there's clearly more strength in $ETH rather than $BTC, I'm not surprised to see this fall to sub 55%.”
“This is our most succesful episode on YouTube already. New Era Finance continues to grow bigger and bigger, with the best guests possible. I do think that $ETH is the best investment to make compared to #Bitcoin. It's also the most hated trade to take and that's why I think it will surprise everyone. Robinhood Chain and Lighter have provided big reasons for a narrative on why Ethereum should do well. It's been a true pleasure to be having @fundstrat on the show and people are mocking him, but I'm sure that he'll be right along the way as Ethereum is on its path towards $10,000.”
“@QuintenFrancois @FrankAFetter Yes, and that's why you accumulate during these periods and not when your barber starts talking about #Bitcoin again.”
“The business cycle is heating up. It takes time before this is going to be visible in #Crypto and #Bitcoin, as there's a lag depending on the risk appetite that investors are willing to take. In the current market sentiment, which is the worst I've ever seen, I think it will take some more weeks before we start to see it. That's why the $65,000 #Bitcoin breakout is vital, as that would trigger a lot of strength for altcoins to come.”
“@andyyy There we go, that's why I'm betting on $SOL and $ONDO.”
“Strong price action on $ETH signals that the markets want to see more momentum towards the entire DeFi market. The fact that the Clarity Act is likely to be approved soon enough helps in the momentum here. And let's be honest, everyone hates $ETH, so why shouldn't it rally? https://t.co/ghR3VV4KCG”
“Strong bullish divergence on $BTC vs. the S&P. This indicates that we're likely going to see a strong outperformance of Bitcoin vs. the indices. The last time we've seen such a weekly bullish divergence was on the actual low in 2022. https://t.co/xpzfT0VXrs”
“Another massive update from $BTQ. It's finished the Next-Generation Chip Design alongside ICTK. The future needs to be quantum-resistant. I've been covering $BTQ for months already and I think it's a must-watch for anyone looking to invest into this vertical. It's undergoing a correction, which is an ideal moment to be accumulating this one as I don't think that this valuation will last for long. I'm looking to be accumulating a position in this range, as the news keeps on piling in on this one.”
“There's more strength coming in on $BTC. That's a great move and I don't expect to see the markets falling here. Continuation over the coming 1-2 weeks would mean that we're seeing a run to $70k+ happening and that would strengthen the thesis that the bottom is relatively here. https://t.co/ltUcOEd9yi”