Published 13 Jul 2026, 19:27 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC
Michaël van de Poppe
@CryptoMichNL
I don't think much has changed on #Bitcoin, yet. However, there's clearly a lack of strength, as; - Yields are going up. - Oil is going up. - Nasdaq is going down. There's also a clear bearish divergence (and bullish divergence) at play. Matter of question of which one is going to be the valid one, but if you'd ask me right now, I'd go for the fact that we're going to see a breakdown here beneath $61,000 and make a triple bottom/divergence in July. Ultimately, the entire area of $61,000 is the most important one that I'd like to see hold in order to avoid further downwards momentum.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
r = 65101.02 / 62212.52 − 1 = +4.64%d × r = -4.64% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → incorrectOnly the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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