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Leaderboard / @CryptoMichNL / 2077033934336999626:ethereum

Prediction evidence

correctPolicy v1.0

Source post

Published 14 Jul 2026, 14:14 UTC · fetched 14 Oct 2026, 10:57 UTC

Cr

Michaël van de Poppe

@CryptoMichNL

Yields drop. The Dollar drops. I'm sure the overall sentiment surrounding rate hikes will fade. I wouldn't be surprised by a breakout in #Bitcoin, resulting in $ETH running to $2,500 and DeFi waking up. It's finally becoming a better period.

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How this was scored

Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result

Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,879 at 14 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,932 at 15 Jul 2026, 15:00 UTC.
r = 1931.59 / 1879.46 − 1 = +2.77%
Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = +2.77% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology

AI interpretation

Uses only text available at publication time

Asset: Ethereum (ETH)
Direction: ▲ Bullish
Intent: explicit
Horizon: 24 hours (default, none stated)
Evidence span: “I wouldn't be surprised by a breakout in #Bitcoin, resulting in $ETH running to $2,500 and DeFi waking up.”
Confidence: 99%
Review state: auto accepted
Model / prompt: gpt-6-luna+decisions · decisions-v3

Outcome record

Status

correct

Baseline price

$1,879

Evaluation price

$1,932

Move

+2.77%

Neutral threshold

Unchanged price only

Price provider

coinbase

Evaluated at

22 Oct 2026, 04:18 UTC

Policy version

v1.0

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