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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 5 more calls to rank
Scored calls
10
2 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
33.3%
1 correct / 2 incorrect · 7 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
-0.30%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
-3.0%
Equal stake on all 10 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (49) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 30% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 37.9% | 20 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.8% | 93 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.09% | 27 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 24h
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“My expectations going into the coming week is that it won't be as bearish as the consensus is. We've just had a terrible week on the indices. Crypto has seen a relatively normal correction. I wouldn't be surprised if we're hitting the low of this correction somewhere in this week on #Bitcoin and indices and that we'll start to get some momentum again.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
87 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 47 | 25% |
“There's no need to jump into an overly bearish view if the markets are just consolidating in a normal manner. Next weeks we're likely trending back upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“Today has showcased why reading much about sentiment on social media makes absolutely no sense. Sure, corrections happen. Some are heavier than others. However, this drop on the markets have been relatively shallow and there's nothing to fear about. Very quick bounce upwards on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins and I would assume that we'll likely remain bullish for the coming period.”
“That's a possible bullish divergence on $ETH indicating that we're reversing back upwards here. https://t.co/gcUCxNxvFq https://t.co/fF5aPFAqUz”
“Honestly, I don't fancy the #Bitcoin chart as much, right now. It couldn't break through the $84,000 resistance level and is therefore showing weakness. It seems to be that, if $82,000 is also acting as resistance, the most obvious spot for a long will be <$80,000 as that liquidity is likely to be taken.”
“The #Bitcoin vs. Gold chart is incredible. Bitcoin is still down 50% vs. Gold in terms of valuations. It's comparable to the period in 2023 where we barely broke out of the downtrend and started to go up. What's next? A period of consolidation where some #Altcoins can have their first breakouts and momentum, after which the entire market goes up a lot more.”
“I've mentioned this before: The $84,000 level is a crucial one to break for #Bitcoin. It didn't. We continue to consolidate. That's why I think that $82,000 is a level which must-hold. The reason for that is that I think that once it loses that level, we'll start to grab liquidity way lower and we'll accelerate deeper. What's on the cards then? Potentially $79K, or even $77K would be possible. A longer period of consolidation then.”