@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
2 correct / 1 incorrect · 6 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.12%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-1.0%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
-0.61%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (25) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 42.5% | 25 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.9% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.61% | 6 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 4h
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#Bitcoin / $BTC I still believe it's worth having cash sitting on the sidelines to max bid mid / late November. BTC has bottomed shortly after midterms (11/3) the last two bear markets. Strategy potentially getting removed from MSCI indexes for being a "non-operating company" is also a bigger deal than people are giving it credit for. JP Morgan estimated that exclusion from MSCI indexes could trigger ~$2.8 billion in passive sales for $MSTR. Which resurfaces the Strategy / MSTR / STRC fears from earlier this summer... Wanted to see $100K and new ATHs asap, but charts look weaker than I'd like and I think it's important to derisk while majors are still at a relatively strong spot.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 71.4% |
72 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.21 | 19 | 25% |
“robinhood:0x7fe995a80075df3dc8ae11a9b82c7fe4202cd87f Robinhood Chain will have multiple multi-billion dollar cats. Zero doubt in my mind HMM will be one of them. This base range its been accumulating in is a gift for anyone who's been stacking. The next leg up will be violent and swift when it happens. Bullieve in something. 🤔🐈”
“@AoTpokerplayer win some trades and lose others! but - if that stretch showed anything, it's that $STRC can depeg during extreme volatility... so why not short it and collect a premium while having almost zero liquidation risk vs. trying to short BTC for a hedge against bearish price action?”
“realize I sent this out yesterday, was feeling the hopium coursing through my veins after living a 37 hour Tuesday while heading home from Singapore... still don't think it's impossible to send straight to $100K+ but main thing here is to not look at posts like this and immediately think "dang I should go open up a 20x long because if that happens I'll print!" just keep stacking patiently... when the market really starts to move, you won't need the leverage to win https://t.co/aYLVdpXXsl”
“$ETH / $BTC Ethereum just had a clean breakout / retest of a nearly decade long bearish resistance… Get ready for record breaking short squeezes Be more bullish https://t.co/ELw7kd9AXy”
“#Bitcoin / $BTC 30% is FUD. Be more bullish. https://t.co/eoWQhSodQw”