Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first $HMM price at or after publication, $0.008983 at 16 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $0.008344 at 17 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC.
3. r = 0.00834432408156079 / 0.00898264393410422 − 1 = -7.11%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -7.11% against a neutral band of ±5.00% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology