@CredibleCrypto · *Tweets are my opinion, not financial advice* All OFFICIAL platform links and content are ONLY found on my website below.
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
166
11 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
50.6%
84 correct / 82 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg return / call
-0.28%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-46.0%
Equal stake on all 166 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.02%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (61) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 7% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.5% | 70 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −96.4% | 58 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.02% | 55 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
371 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“3 days later and our MTF range highs have officially been met 🎯 Next area of interest is .35-.40 which is a very key resistance/supply zone. If we can clear that we can then aim for $1.60-$2 once again. ethereum:0xd533a949740bb3306d119cc777fa900ba034cd52 https://t.co/IbFQ42rm5z https://t.co/xi5cbZrgsN”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.6% |
82 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.00 | 48 | 25% |
All time · stated
“Hey you still have enough $CVX to make life-changing gains. 30k is a lot and most don't have anywhere close to that amount- don't fomo- if you have spare funds and we get a dip you can add if not there will be other assets you can jump into if CVX takes off before you're able to add back!”
“Technically still holding our MTF range highs but this is starting to look a bit like a potential deviation above those highs. Lots of untapped/equal lows below so might be time to grab some liquidity below. Let's see what the coming days bring but be aware of the potential for a pullback across the board (remember we are up against HTF supply). bitcoin:native”
“@Smart_Money This AI stuff is inaccurate- I am bullish, not saying it is "the beginning of the end".”
“@newzage 🤝”
“An update here on $ETH with some important implications for alts. While the ETH/USD pairing did indeed break out as expected from our last update on it (quoted tweet), the ETH/BTC pair ended up failing to reclaim our local range and has bled back down (because of $BTC strength to the upside). It now seems that our HTF green zone below is going to be met sooner rather than later- and this is a VERY good sign because it implies that the bottom of ETH/BTC before its next major leg to the upside (similar to the one we saw from May 25th-August 25h) is closer than originally expected. As previously stated- I believe the $BTC bottom is likely in, so the most logical way ETH/BTC moves to the green zone below is more of the same- further $BTC strength as $ETH initially "lags" (like we are seeing now), until this major support zone is met some 10% lower. At that point, would expect $ETH to start playing catch up to $BTC with a rise to 2600-2800+, and this would be a good sign for primed alts in general imo because if $ETH is gaining on BTC in terms of performance it means $BTC is likely stable/chopping and not dropping hard- and these are the best conditions for (primed) alts in general to begin outperforming as well.”
“An update here on $ETH with some important implications for alts. While the ETH/USD pairing did indeed break out as expected from our last update on it (quoted tweet), the ETH/BTC pair ended up failing to reclaim our local range and has bled back down (because of $BTC strength to the upside). It now seems that our HTF green zone below is going to be met sooner rather than later- and this is a VERY good sign because it implies that the bottom of ETH/BTC before its next major leg to the upside (similar to the one we saw from May 25th-August 25h) is closer than originally expected. As previously stated- I believe the $BTC bottom is likely in, so the most logical way ETH/BTC moves to the green zone below is more of the same- further $BTC strength as $ETH initially "lags" (like we are seeing now), until this major support zone is met some 10% lower. At that point, would expect $ETH to start playing catch up to $BTC with a rise to 2600-2800+, and this would be a good sign for primed alts in general imo because if $ETH is gaining on BTC in terms of performance it means $BTC is likely stable/chopping and not dropping hard- and these are the best conditions for (primed) alts in general to begin outperforming as well.”
“First little pullback here, retesting our MTF range highs. Let's see if it holds... $BTC https://t.co/OwVhjH1KJ2 https://t.co/olvrVBuVV4”
“@jack_t59794 Yup exactly 💯 If we go to new highs from year people will assume that the "new" bear markets are shallower and shorter, not recognizing that this most recent correction was just of a smaller degree.”
“@cryptocunnilin1 Well it should be longer by time and/or deeper by price than all prior ones- so would think a 5+ year bear wouldn't be surprising? Depth is hard to say but 70-80% minimum would not be surprising at all imo.”
“When you start hearing one of the largest holders of Bitcoin making statements about how Bitcoin just needs to appreciate by “x% annually” for their business plan to be viable you just know that the first secular bear market in Bitcoin’s history is gonna be a painful one. The idea that we will see a bear market worse than anything we have yet seen seems like a foreign concept for some, despite the fact that we have seen these multi-decade boom and bust cycles play out again and again in every other financial market. If you plan based on data from Bitcoin’s past when its entire past has been one massive secular bull cycle, then you’re gonna be completely blindsided when Bitcoin enters its first secular bear- conditions that we have never yet actually seen before. $BTC”
“So far, Bitcoin looks solid. Continues to grind up into HTF supply on negative funding and a relatively strong spot premium- this looks like a healthy grind up. I would not be keen on shorting this move despite us being at HTF supply- no clear/pbvious signs of weakness yet. $BTC”
“Looking like the 40 RSI level will nail it again. That makes it 8/8 or 100% success rate since Bitcoin's inception. At some point this will fail (during the next secular bear market most likely), but I don't think that time is now. $BTC https://t.co/PyOujTdmdq https://t.co/2e0Yh4hON8”
“@Frangipani_101 Basically any alt with strong fundamentals that is down 90+% from it's highs ideally one that has had time to form a nice accumulation base. Tagret for $TRAC is double digits considering prior ATH was $3-$6.”
“No, I’m saying that I’ve been saying for years that 100k+ is my upside target on Bitcoin and at that point ROI will be far better on alts whether the top on Bitcoin is in or not. If you’ve watched my latest YouTube vid you’ll remember I said that due to the lack of a blow off top I believe the current correction is a mid cycle one not the start of a 5+ year secular bear market but it doesn’t matter to me whether the top is in or not because at current levels ROI on alts will be far greater than ROI on BTC- even if we have higher to go yet on BTC (which is my base expectation).”