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Published 7 May 2026, 00:50 UTC · fetched 20 Oct 2026, 05:26 UTC
CrediBULL Crypto
@CredibleCrypto
In reply to · 7 May 2026, 00:44 UTC · context given to the AI
You are scaring the bulls, Cred! 😂 I think I can see the trap already in the making. If this “bear market” ended in February, most will think that bear markets have become much shallower and shorter for Bitcoin and will try to extrapolate this to the next one. This also means all statistical models will become extremely optimistic right before the first secular bear market. The mistake is, of course, assuming that all bear markets are of the same degree (something you have discussed in detail) and that the data is stationary. None of these assumptions are true in markets. So yes, I agree, it should be quite brutal.@jack_t59794 Yup exactly 💯 If we go to new highs from year people will assume that the "new" bear markets are shallower and shorter, not recognizing that this most recent correction was just of a smaller degree.View original on X ↗
Deterministic: the same prices and policy always give the same result
unscored Repeat call within an existing 24h episode
Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology
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