Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $80,380 at 9 May 2026, 04:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 7 days horizon, $79,017 at 16 May 2026, 04:00 UTC.
3. r = 79016.69 / 80380.3 − 1 = -1.70%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.70% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology