@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
55
Top 45% · #5 of 10 ranked
Scored calls
77
10 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
46.3%
19 correct / 22 incorrect · 36 neutral
Avg return / call
+0.84%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
+64.4%
Equal stake on all 77 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.66%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (53) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 12% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 40.1% | 69 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −244.2% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.66% | 14 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
22 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“we're hurting now but think of how rekt we're going to be if bitcoin legs down to 75k in 1 go...”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.05 | 83 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“$PUMP relative strength on this one is impressive and 1 of the few alts you can consider buying immediate dips on imo. This 1 led the market before and also was pulling back when other alts were going (near/ena), so it makes sense it's in a different market cycle than the others https://t.co/MEqWqJFMAv”
“$SOL and $ETH have relatively similar charts honestly, both extremely low volatility and just slowly grinding around near this resistance region. I don't think that either are great for active trades but will put in the +20% candles when btc breaks out imo https://t.co/m7WBvh587J”
“honestly this is bullish for solana:2zMMhcVQEXDtdE6vsFS7S7D5oUodfJHE8vd1gnBouauv imo, no more distractions and energy put into a relatively unused chain. Pudgy can get back to focusing on their consumer products / core narratives now. (I have a bag) https://t.co/QrDpzmapBa”
“$ETH: If you're long here you're just waiting for it to put in the +20% candle that we're all waiting for. I think ETH still looks pretty damn strong but it's been in this tight 5% range for weeks now; don't see that changing until btc legs up significantly. I have some calls on ETHA”
“@CryptoWendyO happier at 200k btc tbh”
“I put all majors in S or A, mostly because I think that they're all going to mostly go up. I dont think I'd ever buy LTC or TRX often but they're probably going to do fine later on + you can size into them. USELESS outperformed nearly every single coin this recent run. its been the best SOL beta for a few reasons ADA was 1 of the only altcoins to get close to its altbtc pair last cycle in 2021. I think it's fucking dogshit but I do think it's going to do well when retail comes. probably should have gone C tier though. What's wrong with the other A tier? NEAR/ENA are very strong coins. VVV the best AI coin so far this year.”
“Coins I would consider top blasting at current levels or a shallow dip, expecting higher in the short term: $PUMP $MON $GRASS $WLD $ZRO $STRK (gulp) $STX”
“I'm still long ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 and it's held up very well the last 12 hours. Going to continue holding and it's been very strong lately https://t.co/PI6sPr7bzl”
“$ETH chopped for 1 month, had a small move, and has now continued chopping for 10 days. I think it's only a matter of time before this one explodes. I'm long calls https://t.co/2SRXcWXtIC”
“in many ways $MON and $PUMP have pretty similar price action right now. Potential double top for Monad given the time spent in between but I think that it probably breaks it. Not firing at this current area though https://t.co/nHWrzApTHo”
“Bitcoin: eh another revisit to mid 82ks and I'm not going to be happy. Still think a lot of alts retrace further https://t.co/xbT7E9NP53”
“$USELESS I still have a bag of this and I think it goes to ATH if bitcoin remains stable/ strong https://t.co/0O0yFz9ztO”
“Current positions for me: $DRV: got in pre korean pump and still holding nearly all of it, took a tiny bit of profits after it but think it's a decent hold. Options getting a lot more attention overall w. some big public positions. $XPL: unlocks coming this week; I'm guessing this team has some sort of announcements. Could be bullish unlock but unsure, going to evaluate $USELESS: Pure momentum trade; I think that this one goes to ATH eventually but Idk if it's on this current run or not. Might need a pause but it's ultimately going to depend on bitcoin $SYN: very very small position for me, not really anything to talk about but price action is pretty insane and I do think that team can run it higher eventually; just have to withstand some short term volatility $FORM same kind of trade as SYN in a lot of ways; in from around here and it's a pretty risky trade w. small size. Momentum trade where I think I can get another move to the local highs but stop under 0.29 Have a few momentum trades, a news one (XPL), and slower cook one (DRV). I have a small amount of ZEC I need more of though. These are some unusual altcoins, I know.”
“Current positions for me: $DRV: got in pre korean pump and still holding nearly all of it, took a tiny bit of profits after it but think it's a decent hold. Options getting a lot more attention overall w. some big public positions. $XPL: unlocks coming this week; I'm guessing this team has some sort of announcements. Could be bullish unlock but unsure, going to evaluate $USELESS: Pure momentum trade; I think that this one goes to ATH eventually but Idk if it's on this current run or not. Might need a pause but it's ultimately going to depend on bitcoin $SYN: very very small position for me, not really anything to talk about but price action is pretty insane and I do think that team can run it higher eventually; just have to withstand some short term volatility $FORM same kind of trade as SYN in a lot of ways; in from around here and it's a pretty risky trade w. small size. Momentum trade where I think I can get another move to the local highs but stop under 0.29 Have a few momentum trades, a news one (XPL), and slower cook one (DRV). I have a small amount of ZEC I need more of though. These are some unusual altcoins, I know.”