Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,643 at 8 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 1 hour horizon, $81,839 at 8 Oct 2026, 23:00 UTC.
3. r = 81839.32 / 81642.61 − 1 = +0.24%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.24% against a neutral band of ±0.20% → incorrect

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology