Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $83,146 at 29 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $83,418 at 30 Sept 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 83418.28 / 83146.47 − 1 = +0.33%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = -0.33% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology