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@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 22 Oct 2026
Caller Score
48
Top 52% · #12 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
359
10 pending · 46 unresolved
Hit rate
48.9%
174 correct / 182 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 7d return / call
+0.64%
Avg return per call (7 day horizon)
Following every call
+230.0%
Equal stake on all 359 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.37%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (60) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 11% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 48.4% | 55 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −336.0% | 9 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.37% | 76 | 25% |
By month resolved · 7 days horizon
706 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“might finally be time for the perp dex beta to catch up. $LIT and the others have been awful the last several weeks but maybe now is their time to (briefly) catch up to Hyperliquid a bit? Don't expect this to continue for long but let's see. $AVNT $LIT https://t.co/JVQYO50xU4”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
94 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.03 | 58 | 25% |
All time · 7d
“type of market where moves just fully retrace. $JTO $BIO and pretty much every other strong mover. Time to just go back into hibernation mode for a bunch of these shitcoins I guess https://t.co/Pk8TgNxh3c”
“$VVV had a perfect entry idea at the 0.382 fib but I passed on it; I still dont like top blasting this area. I think that it eventually trades decently lower even with as good of fundamentals as this has. The higher time frame idea is that VVV becomes the next AI proxy token though for crypto, which is a mantle other coins have had in the past such as FET, TAO, and others. I think it's extremely strong but I'll remain sidelined on it”
“$BTC I still think we eventually trade near the 200W EMA but I still actually believe that 60k was the bottom. I think we just chop around a bit more around this area and then have a much strong move later. Where I change my mind is a high time frame close above the recent high...if that happens, we're prob going to 100k.”
“$BTC wouldnt be surprised to see another interaction w. the 200W EMA eventually around 70k... https://t.co/94x6K4e3AO”
“$BTC Still aiming for low 70ks overall....let's see what happens. Prob not longing much until then (other than for scalps) https://t.co/BYc1sSoetm”
“$BTC 200 ema on the 4h is right here...usually a good bounce spot at a minimum. But I think bitcoin ultimately trades in the lower 70ks imo. https://t.co/xqV656PYb7”
“Now that the market is shitting itself, it's time for all the cabal coins to shine imo... $ARC $jellyjelly those usually do the best when the market is choppy and there aren't many other good plays around https://t.co/LRdmPcDEZ4”
“Now that the market is shitting itself, it's time for all the cabal coins to shine imo... $ARC $jellyjelly those usually do the best when the market is choppy and there aren't many other good plays around https://t.co/LRdmPcDEZ4”
“$BTC probably somewhere in this green box...expecting more chop overall https://t.co/ZFrWFzD3RZ”
“$PENGU would love to see a bit more of a pullback and then full send. 200d EMA right above here which usually is a stalling point but I still really like PENGU and have a bag of it/ might add more down here. https://t.co/1BhlhGorjm”
“Been a lot more patient the last few days and just mostly watching and/or buying some heavy supply controlled coins that don't react so badly to poor $BTC action (examples would be like $H, $TRUTH, banana-for-scale-2:native , Sportfun, and several others. Haven't taken any normal coin trades in a few days. I still am watching coins like $TON, $ONDO, $JTO, and a bunch of others but not firing quite yet. BTC still looks a bit iffy on lower time frames and we just had a pretty nice move the last few weeks, so maybe a cool off is necessary. Still am cautiously bullish and think 60k was the bottom but I do think that we need more time to reset and just chill a bit. 1 key thing for that idea is simply the 200d EMA: in the past bottoms, you saw the 200d EMA interact a lot with price for weeks on end. We haven't seen that yet and I wouldn't be surprised at all to just see more chop for several more weeks or even months. Definitely awesome trading conditions though recently and I did really well compared to the last few months. We have to appreciate these small spurts of bullishness and try to not lose as much money when the chop/bad times come. All in all, still staying pretty cautious and patient and either buying some of these supply constrained coins or nothing at all. Still not personally shorting any bounces but just watching for now.”
“$BTC lower time frame look, price looks a bit heavy right now in the short term. Not sure why price is grinding down but this area was always something I was looking at (200d EMA). If we continue grinding lower, I'm looking around the 200 EMA 4h around 76k. https://t.co/E8cCe9FlQt”
“@Maikl649963 hm yeah that's possible for it to just dump , if that's the case, this little bull run is just over and btc grinds lower. entirely possible”
“$BTC areas around the 200d EMA expected pullback...haven't seen any big dips quite yet but watching and waiting https://t.co/z42x8zsLQ7”