Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $81,177 at 12 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $80,986 at 13 May 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 80985.88 / 81176.73 − 1 = -0.24%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.24% (neutral only if the price is unchanged) → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology