@AltcoinSherpa · Not Financial Advice / Crypto since 2016/ DYOR https://t.co/2tk69SLmJY https://t.co/R4qO2qt1o9 Betting with @rainbetcom
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
3 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
37.5%
3 correct / 5 incorrect · 1 neutral
Avg return / call
-1.39%
Avg return per call (each call's stated horizon)
Following every call
-12.5%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-1.85%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (28) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 25.3% | 6 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −24.9% | 25 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -1.85% | 25 | 25% |
By month resolved · Stated horizon
19 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH is a dogshit coin but the lows are still holding and I still expect this to be fine as long as bitcoin holds up. It's still going to keep chopping though imo https://t.co/MWDJJkHhUX”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 80.0% |
69 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.26 | 25 | 25% |
30 days · stated
“$ETH some extremely volatile price action there but we held the range lows and I think its logical that we continue moving higher as long as bitcoin is stable. I'm exposed via some options https://t.co/OgCWQrgeSd”
“$ETH we're still ok imo; still in the same trading range that we've been at for almost 2 months. If BTC truly breaks down to the low 70ks then I think ETH breaks below the range low. Until then, assume we're still fine https://t.co/y5fOwh7XrB”
“$SOL and $ETH have relatively similar charts honestly, both extremely low volatility and just slowly grinding around near this resistance region. I don't think that either are great for active trades but will put in the +20% candles when btc breaks out imo https://t.co/m7WBvh587J”
“$ETH: If you're long here you're just waiting for it to put in the +20% candle that we're all waiting for. I think ETH still looks pretty damn strong but it's been in this tight 5% range for weeks now; don't see that changing until btc legs up significantly. I have some calls on ETHA”
“$ETH seems like its been in this 5% range forever with nothing happening. I still think that we're looking fine and will be much higher within the next few months https://t.co/e59SjToVS5”
“$ETH I actually think we're still fine and not everything is doom and gloom. Obviously going to be really dependent on bitcoin though. I still think we look pretty solid https://t.co/LOmhGSEPIE”
“I'm still long ethereum:0x163f8c2467924be0ae7b5347228cabf260318753 and it's held up very well the last 12 hours. Going to continue holding and it's been very strong lately https://t.co/PI6sPr7bzl”
“@krugman87 hell why not 100k at that point...Ill take it”
“$ETH chopped for 1 month, had a small move, and has now continued chopping for 10 days. I think it's only a matter of time before this one explodes. I'm long calls https://t.co/2SRXcWXtIC”
“I honestly think that this is the portfolio / play if you don't want to do much and just hodl. If you dont have the time to trade (or have no interest), just buy and walk away and dont chase all these other shitcoins that we trade https://t.co/7qJdBfM5sN”
“@krugman87 a lot of the big news probably priced in + a lot of its moat may be in jeopardy with KYC needed for perps (hype too) + once this thing unlocks in a few months its likely down only (though i thought that for pump too kek)”
“The lazy investor portfolio where you buy and walk away and come back to it being up 3x+ Majors (ETH SOL XRP) ENA ZEC HYPE / LIT VVV NEAR”
“all the majors look super good right now imo. XRP, BCH, SOL, ETH...pick any of them and you can size due to lower downside volatility than some shitcoins right now. https://t.co/0aHoQloB2C”
“the play looks to be just size BTC , XRP , SOL, ETH and any other major you prefer. There are going to be some others that have good days here and there (useless today) but some of the recent runners like NEAR, ENA, UNI taking a little bit of a break. https://t.co/rY6FvRiX6E”