Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,446 at 14 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,432 at 15 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC.
3. r = 2431.96 / 2446.28 − 1 = -0.59%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.59% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology