Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $2,430 at 16 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $2,417 at 17 Oct 2026, 02:00 UTC.
3. r = 2416.72 / 2430.12 − 1 = -0.55%
4. Direction d = +1 (bullish), so d × r = -0.55% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology