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@sminston_with · Unclaimed · Rank #12 (Top 13%) · All time · Stated horizon How it’s ranked
Bitcoin ⚡ Engineering PhD ⚡ Data & tools https://t.co/TaPKiZgBNX
Coverage 8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
31
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
71.0%
22 correct / 9 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+5.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−1.5%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
186d
8 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Best call
+23.5%“The power law of Bitcoin IN GOLD has taken quite a hit when you keep it honest by stopping training data in Aug 2020. Here's why I don't believe the same will happen in dollars, and rather price will continue to grow at roughly t^6. Bitcoin and the dollar both have monetary policies. One is a halving schedule, the other is a committee targeting a couple percent a year and mostly hitting it. Gold has neither. The t⁶ is a network property, addresses are doing roughly t³ x Metcalfe. The dollar is like a valve someone's hand is always on. Gold is more like the weather.”
Worst call
-23.8%“Only positive Macro signs for BTC since early March, particularly with respect to gold BTC/Au has climbed back late '25 levels, ~16.5oz/BTC The potential Au->BTC rotation signal I flagged in March, rather than letting more air out of BTC, allowed a persistent rally thru today - - - This looks more like momentum building than a head fake before new lows Watch out bears.”
Every token @sminston_with has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 1 token, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 49 calls since 11 May 2026
49 bullish · 0 bearish
By month resolved · Stated horizon
7 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2026, 20:46 | “I agree with @saifedean. NGU or NGD. Only one can get this thing adopted at scale. Both its hard-to-control properties AND its tendency to vastly outrun inflation are necessary for more people to hold it, sustainably so. Neither is sufficient on its own. And you're still pretty early.” |
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All time · stated
| BTC |
| ▲ Bullish |
| — |
| 30d |
| — |
| — |
| pending |
| 6 Nov 2026, 02:23 | “I would not bet against Bitcoin's power law forecast” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 31 Oct 2026, 15:38 | “The last time Bitcoin closed at HALF today's price was 11/30/23 - 1,065 days ago 🤯 At each past bear market low, the look-back was: 2011: 216 days 2015: 540 days 2018: 587 days 2022: 925 days - - - June's low ($58,525) sat 985 days from half, further back than at ANY prior bottom. Even at that low, a buyer from 10/19/23 was still up 2x. Not to mention - according this metric, looks pretty clear we're past the bottom, in case you needed another signal for this. We've got much higher to go.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 20 Oct 2026, 20:57 | “Classic Log-Log Decay Channel Model. Bitcoin $1 Million just really isn't that far off. https://t.co/aQwig2FAGv” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 17 Oct 2026, 02:33 | “In 2022, after the Bitcoin bear reversal, we had the first golden cross of the 'bear' market. About 2 months later, price jumped again by ~30%. If this repeats, the price will get above $100k. About a month left to go. https://t.co/ymulAjQ84i” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 16 Oct 2026, 16:51 | “(2/2) AND it gets harder every year you wait. Each colored spiral is a start date - today, then 2, 4 and 6 years out. Every one sinks deeper, and another budget falls past its point of no return. The lowest monthly buy that ever reaches 1 BTC: Today: $3,089 In 2 yrs: $5,071 In 4 yrs: $7,934 In 6 yrs: $11,935 Power law price, not spot (spot sits well under it today). NFA. Stack early, stack hard, friends.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
| 13 Oct 2026, 03:02 | “I think Bitcoin is gonna pump any day now.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 30d | — | — | pending |
