@scottmelker · The Wolf Of All Streets | The Daily Wolf On @YahooFinance | Media Host | Author | Markets | Hot Takes | Bitcoin | Married up to @emimelker ALL CAPS = news team
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 9 more calls to rank
Scored calls
6
1 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
2 correct / 1 incorrect · 3 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.38%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+2.3%
Equal stake on all 6 calls resolved in the last 30 days
Mean alpha
-0.17%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (56) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 0% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.0% | 63 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −3.1% | 81 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.17% | 52 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
1 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“People want Fed cuts for a pump in risk assets, but the Fed only cuts when something breaks "But what we really have right now is the strange contradiction with markets, right? People want to see the Fed cut, because a Fed cut means that risk assets will go up, because it means there's more liquidity." "But the Fed only cuts when something's broken, right? So you're effectively cheering for something to break in the economy so that the Fed can cut so that your asset can go up. And it's like living in the Upside Down in Stranger Things. None of it makes much sense." "Once again, yes, Bitcoin went down today because of things that were happening in the macro, sort of. But it has risen if you zoom out, and it is on an epic rally, its best third quarter in many years, and probably entering into a new bull market." "So we're gonna see what the Fed does. We'll see what oil does. But I can tell you that no matter what the Fed does and oil does, the bond market is not believing any of them."”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 60.0% |
33 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.07 | 52 | 25% |
30 days · 24h