Loading…
@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
2
Top 98% · #22 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
140
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
39.1%
27 correct / 42 incorrect · 71 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.13%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-17.8%
Equal stake on all 140 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.17%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (21) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 35.9% | 3 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −23.9% | 30 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.17% | 9 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
27 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC Bitcoin is still hovering beneath the Macro Downtrending resistance, having upside wicked briefly beyond it Still the pivotal resistance and by staying below it, Bitcoin continues its series of Macro Lower Highs bitcoin:native #Bitcoin https://t.co/anBReUrDhp https://t.co/UZsfPfzT8W”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
85 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.20 | 3 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“#BTC Every time Bitcoin produced a fake-breakout (red circle) from a price cluster (orange), price would revert back to the cluster And whenever that would happen, Bitcoin would Weekly Close beneath the Cluster Low and bearish retest it into new resistance to confirm additional downside (blue circles) Should Bitcoin reject at its Macro Downtrend and local top here at ~current prices... Then bearish retesting either of the levels located in the future blue circles ($72400 & $66200) would confirm additional downside lower Bearish retest of $72400 could send price into the high mid-$60,000s And bearish retest of $66200 could send price into the low $60,000s $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Very initial signs of rejection taking place at the Lower High for Bitcoin $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/n0uNXyjp1k https://t.co/WbnRfRENGL”
“#BTC Bitcoin continues to try to press into the July highs and the 50-Month EMA This is exactly what Bitcoin did in August 2022 Until Bitcoin clearly reclaims the 50 EMA as support, BTC is technically positioned to repeat 2022 history $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/yTVme90EMm”
“#BTC The 50-Month EMA (purple) continues to reject Bitcoin as we approach the new month of August It's likely price will try to maintain these highs in the early stages of August but history suggests price could rollover just like it did in 2022 $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/vhqur4GL4j https://t.co/TaXqMNX4xo”
“#BTC That multi-week Lower High (black) is starting to convincingly resist price More, a Lower High in the upside wicks has developed as well The Monthly Close is just days away And if that Monthly Close occurs below $66000 then that would confirm this general region as a major higher timeframe resistance to likely reject price into Red August $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has indeed picked up in its price action in the second half of July History tends to repeat itself $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3Q7qTjnJTO https://t.co/n72n10p74a”
“#BTC The 50-Month EMA (purple) represents the ~$66000 price point for Bitcoin $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/zefkSbMwpq https://t.co/5JhfpTAvtn”
“You survived the -84.5% #BTC Bear Market in 2018 You survived the -63% $BTC crash in March 2020 You survived the -53% BTC crash in May 2021 You survived the -77% BTC Bear Market in 2022 You'll survive this 2026 Bear Market as well #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Indeed, the 200-week SMA is acting as unreliable resistance as well, because Bitcoin has Weekly Closed above the SMA Technically, that now means that this dip is a retest attempt to try reclaim the SMA back into support Again, the SMA will likely act as unreliable support and resistance in the short-term But the macro perspective suggests price will try to get as close as possible to the 50-Month EMA (~$66k) this July So for Bitcoin to be able to do that, the 200-week SMA will need to somehow briefly act as support at some point to facilitate that additional relief rally into the general ~$66k area before breaking down from the 200 SMA in August, for example $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Welcome to green July $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/4q1NqiM3p8 https://t.co/8jT5fusiAW”
“#BTC Red June Green July Red August This is what Bitcoin price history suggests Bitcoin could possibly see some downside wicking below the new Monthly Open in early July But history suggests price should be able expand to the upside as the month progresses $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC This is still the game plan for the rest of the Summer Once June Monthly Closes, we'll know from which price July will be able to potentially spring into a post-breakdown relief rally Macro-wise, this is still looking very 2022-esque whereby any relief would see the 50-Month EMA (purple) turn into new resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC February lows have been confirmed as new resistance A new Weekly Close below $63.2k would likely confirm another set of new Lower Highs $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/HFDnawhviN https://t.co/5vIevifrYR”
“Bitcoin will rally high enough to convince you that the Bear Market is over And then it will resume its downtrend $BTC #BTC #Bitcoin”