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@rektcapital · Crypto Investor/Analyst Writes RC Newsletter: https://t.co/pFp14Jbs2r Follow for level-headed insights on Bitcoin and Altcoins
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
7
Top 93% · #20 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
127
13 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
27.2%
22 correct / 59 incorrect · 46 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
-4.21%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
-534.8%
Equal stake on all 127 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-5.35%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (15) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 31% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 23.0% | 0 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −789.0% | 3 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -5.35% | 6 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
22 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#BTC The retest of ~$78300 is now in progress $BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/qvqvadVvr4 https://t.co/upWuzpGObA”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
88 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.51 | 0 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“#BTC Bitcoin has officially Monthly Closed beneath the Macro Downtrend for August However, given that this Macro Trendline is a dynamic resistance, by virtue of the passing of time price has moved beyond the Downtrend More, price has Monthly Closed above the April/May 2026 candle-bodied highs, which are now perfectly confluent with the Macro Downtrend Bitcoin now has a chance to post-breakout retest both the Macro Downtrend and these April/May Monthly highs in an effort to turn them into new support bitcoin:native #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Bitcoin has indeed picked up in its price action in the second half of July History tends to repeat itself $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3Q7qTjnJTO https://t.co/n72n10p74a”
“#BTC Red June Green July Red August This is what Bitcoin price history suggests Bitcoin could possibly see some downside wicking below the new Monthly Open in early July But history suggests price should be able expand to the upside as the month progresses $BTC #Bitcoin”
“There's no need to panic Flowers need rain to grow Bitcoin needs downside to enable future upside #BTC $BTC #Bitcoin”
“#BTC This is still the game plan for the rest of the Summer Once June Monthly Closes, we'll know from which price July will be able to potentially spring into a post-breakdown relief rally Macro-wise, this is still looking very 2022-esque whereby any relief would see the 50-Month EMA (purple) turn into new resistance $BTC #Bitcoin”
“$BTC Bitcoin is getting closer and closer to the 50-Month EMA (purple) There could be a limited reaction from there on contact but over time Bitcoin is likely to breakdown from this EMA and continue macro downside in this Bear Market #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/3Eu3g5V3P2 https://t.co/zgkExUVtQ7”
“$BTC Bitcoin is deviating below the $73k top of Double Bottom as we speak (Chart 1) Weekly Close above $73k and price will have another chance at rallying (likely just to form another Lower High though) But for as long as 2024 old All Time Highs continue to figure as resistance (Chart 2) then there's little chance this Weekly Double Bottom retest will be successful over the long run #BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“$ETH Ethereum has Monthly Closed below its multi-year uptrend (green) for the second time in 5 months The last time Ethereum Monthly Closed below the trendline, price produced a limited move to the upside and got rejected promptly The rallies originating from this trendline are clearly weakening, the multi-year uptrend likely faltering Ethereum needs to at least keep the 2026 lows and/or reclaim the uptrend to avoid deeper downside #ETH #Crypto #Ethereum”
“$BTC The two EMAs have indeed acted as resistance in this Bear Market and have since forced price to drop into the Double Bottom formation top for a post-breakout retest #BTC #Bitcoin https://t.co/I40wC1Sppq https://t.co/H0MXzjmtoN”
“#BTC Bitcoin has indeed turned the 21-week EMA (green) into new resistance Bitcoin spent the past 1.5 weeks upside wicking into the EMA and rejecting from it Continued rejection from the EMA would send price closer to $73k for a post-breakout retest attempt of the blue Weekly Double Bottom $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”
“#BTC Any upcoming rebound could potentially turn the 21-week EMA into new resistance Especially if price Weekly Closes below the EMA following the rebound $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/zmjBPgYT8L”
“#BTC Bitcoin has Weekly Closed below the 21-week EMA (green) which technically positions price to potentially turn it into new resistance on any upcoming rebound Turning the 21-week EMA into new resistance would fully confirm the breakdown from it $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin https://t.co/YmZPvyKYbQ https://t.co/pnX3lIlplp”
“The $USDC Dominance is successful thus far Meanwhile #BTC's momentum appears to have stalled $BTC #USDC #Bitcoin https://t.co/2QGmfksvNQ https://t.co/7Eor1Zozqs”
“#BTC History suggests the low at $60,000 wasn't the Bear Market bottom $BTC #Crypto #Bitcoin”