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@krugermacro · Unclaimed · All time · 1 hour horizon How it’s ranked
🇦🇷 Economist. Trader. Sharing views on global markets.
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Calls
3
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
0.0%
0 correct / 3 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
-0.2%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.2%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
0
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
189d
5 May 2026 – 10 Nov 2026
Worst call
-0.3%“1. there's no "forever" 2. the four year cycle is hopium, even though it can drive self fulfilling flows 3. the btc underperformance trend vs AI related assets is very long, not noise 4. the eth underperformance trend vs almost everything is overwhelmingly evident 5. something going down when it should be going up it's signal (crashing solo is very different than crashing due to macro conditions) 6. I expect the AI trend to continue for a long time, and BTC to continue underperforming => there are much faster horses offering higher convexity than BTC 7. A handful of crypto assets can perform very well regardless.”
Every token @krugermacro has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 2 tokens, all time.
Last called 4 Jun 2026 · 3 calls since 2 Jun 2026
0 bullish · 3 bearish
Last called 4 Jun 2026
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
All time · 1h
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Aug 2026, 16:30 | “@coinmamba Trading as if bitcoin were a value trap” |
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| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| — |
| 1h |
| — |
| — |
| unscored |
| 2 Jul 2026, 10:46 | “I'm expecting a trend change in crypto today if payrolls data (NFP) comes in soft. If not today, then the trend change will have to wait for the market to price in higher odds of no hike at the July FOMC (Jul/29). The next catalysts for that repricing are the FOMC minutes (Jul/8) and CPI (Jul/14). If CPI comes in hot, the repricing waits until the July FOMC itself. NFP, CPI, the minutes, and FOMC speeches are more important than ever given Warsh's no forward guidance policy. I expect no hike on Jul/29, given the Middle East cease fire and inflation having peaked, but the market is not so sure and needs data to hold its hand until then. A hike would be extremely bearish. Without forward guidance, the market would have a hard time distinguishing between an "insurance hike" and the start of a hiking cycle. The main drag on crypto in the last six weeks has been BTC and Saylor, whose unfortunate actions (using cash reserves to repurchase 2029 converts + making a test bitcoin sale) drove price from 82K to 58K. That risk is now mostly gone, at least for the foreseeable future. Meanwhile, the main drags on equities and risk assets in general in the last two weeks have been a) the US-Iran cease fire exhausting most of the de-escalation upside, b) a hawkish June FOMC, and c) reignited AI bubble fears (misplaced IMO).” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 7 Jun 2026, 22:11 | “Very sad > Btc is shackled by saylor and threatened by quantum > Eth got one shot by AI > Sol commited https://t.co/HXATjISRxL > Hype should do well needs time If I had to bet on st direction, I'd bet on a 5%-8% reversal this week, it's a bit too much, but market needs to see what Saylor does first” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 7 Jun 2026, 22:11 | “Very sad > Btc is shackled by saylor and threatened by quantum > Eth got one shot by AI > Sol commited https://t.co/HXATjISRxL > Hype should do well needs time If I had to bet on st direction, I'd bet on a 5%-8% reversal this week, it's a bit too much, but market needs to see what Saylor does first” | SOL | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 4 Jun 2026, 05:38 | “Yes, Saylor did make the price of bitcoin crash. A chunk of the market is somehow oblivious to this. This matters, as if you know the cause, you can determine what the market needs to reverse the trend (aside of liquidations). https://t.co/xlNG4V5ySl” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
| 2 Jun 2026, 21:51 | “Bitcoin now trades in line with Strategy's corporate liquidity. This shift accelerated two weeks ago when the company repurchased its 2029 convertible notes, heavily depleting the cash reserves required to service its STRC preferred dividends. If for example management chooses to liquidate Bitcoin rather than suspend SRTC payouts, it introduces a massive structural supply overhang. Bitcoin does not trade like a macro asset any longer.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 1h | — | — | unscored |
