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@blknoiz06 · coldest nigga breathing | @BullpenFi @MarketBubble
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
84
Top 16% · #4 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
123
0 pending · 11 unresolved
Hit rate
55.3%
68 correct / 55 incorrect · 0 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.69%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+84.8%
Equal stake on all 123 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.54%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (72) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 15% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 53.8% | 85 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −32.1% | 61 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.54% | 79 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
305 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“imo the MOST mispriced market on polymarket right now: bitcoin above 100K this year, trading at 19% tbh i dont think we hit 100k this year but if btc touches 85k this thing reprices to 40%+ this is an example of "easy money is before it's obvious" https://t.co/9C0w1JZmP5 https://t.co/Vfu5XJopak”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 96.3% |
76 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.09 | 61 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“here is my UPDATED bag allocation after yesterday's green candles 60-70% majors: BTC, ETH, SOL, HYPE + ZEC 30-40% rotational: onchain, memes, perps and why $PUMP is my highest conviction midcap right now... 📈 https://t.co/sPM0Pop3mD”
“@based16z the system's fugazi the ai overlords are fake and the denominator is worthless, buy btc”
“$PUMP update #2 | .003455 | 2x from original entry revenue has doubled as well, no real change to thesis clear skies if weekly closes > 0.0034, believe this will hit ATHs relatively quickly, especially if onchain activity continues & mobile app traction keeps up https://t.co/TAy5BJ28uZ”
“equally weighted basket of $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $HYPE, $PUMP likely 3-5xs from here easily over next 2 years hype & pump highest r/r spots”
“equally weighted basket of $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $HYPE, $PUMP likely 3-5xs from here easily over next 2 years hype & pump highest r/r spots”
“equally weighted basket of $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $HYPE, $PUMP likely 3-5xs from here easily over next 2 years hype & pump highest r/r spots”
“equally weighted basket of $BTC, $ETH, $SOL, $HYPE, $PUMP likely 3-5xs from here easily over next 2 years hype & pump highest r/r spots”
“absolutely massive weekly close on $BTC if it holds here through Sunday, high chance we retest top of range around 83k by end of Q3 if not higher https://t.co/4yrAc4pcRv”
“to simplify this thesis: AI overspending will not affect change quick enough, so then gold rips, as that happens bitcoin rips onchain economy is already inflecting up as its obviously more efficient to trade RWAs on chain, perps+fx+stables go infinite $BTC 10T $HYPE 1T $SOL 1T https://t.co/yn62vAZjC6”
“to simplify this thesis: AI overspending will not affect change quick enough, so then gold rips, as that happens bitcoin rips onchain economy is already inflecting up as its obviously more efficient to trade RWAs on chain, perps+fx+stables go infinite $BTC 10T $HYPE 1T $SOL 1T https://t.co/yn62vAZjC6”
“institutional money flipping bullish crypto (Druck buying $HYPE, Robinhood launching their L2, PTJ adding to $BTC position) while regulatory environment for crypto meaningfully improves, & crypto natives remain loudly bearish and pessimistic recipe for a bottom https://t.co/FTDh8alf8W”
“teams who select diamond to launch have to buy+burn $100k in $ANSEM before launching, next step is team reaching out to us with all of their info & plans before actually launching the coin that’s the curation part of it, no it is not possible to ensure all coins are successful but it is possible to ensure that all launches who want to market to $ANSEM holders add value to the network by either buying+burning $ANSEM and airdropping portions of their token supply & its much less likely for a team to spend $100k & go through that process if they’re going to rug, but for $ANSEM holders they benefit regardless and can buy more of the diamond tier coins after waiting to see how they do in the market & the marketing teams receive from airdropping coins far outweighs the sell pressure imo, can compare your average launch to anything closely tied to the $ANSEM eco for confirmation of that, 99% of coins top at 30k market cap bullpen nfts & bulltoshi nfts have consistently been top nft projects by volume, & anything mentioned in discord + here on my account gets way more of an attention+volume boost than whatever the sell pressure would be worth I didn’t expect so many people to burn this much $ANSEM so fast tho there’s already been about .1% of the total supply burned, thesis will be much more solidified once there are some coins on the launchpad that are doing really well, we will see over the next month or so but I’m highly confident the thesis will be clear and it’ll generate a lot of additional demand for $ANSEM yes dexscreener is pay to play, but they don’t have a coin, z500 leaderboard being pay to get featured directly accrues value to all $ANSEM holders”
“last cycle's thesis pre-bull market on solana & coinbase, believe there is a similar top 3-5 crypto spots you can allocate to at current prices for similar 10x returns https://t.co/ld2cpfYajc https://t.co/l9efoIQ61g”
“saylor really spent 6 years borrowing money to spend 64 billion dollars buying the top on bitcoin and now sells the bottom every week to shore up cash to pay it back”