Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first BTC price at or after publication, $63,971 at 11 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $63,685 at 12 Aug 2026, 01:00 UTC.
3. r = 63685.04 / 63971.29 − 1 = -0.45%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +0.45% against a neutral band of ±1.00% → neutral

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology