Loading…
@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
32
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.8%
7 correct / 9 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.14%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-4.5%
Equal stake on all 32 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.21%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (32) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 42.4% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.6% | 79 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.21% | 15 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
16 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“BTC - Daily 12/25 ema's... ETH - Second image... OTHERS - Third image NQ - Fourth image https://t.co/KCXdPbqU0Y”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 55.6% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.24 | 6 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“@htltimor the weekly... whats on your radar...”
“The StochRSI When an indicator remains overbought for weeks without convincing price expansion or high-volume continuation, I become increasingly cautious of downside risk... The indicator isn't actionable in isolation, but helps me determine when to be aggressive versus defensive... I generally use it as a mechanical oscillator along with htf supply and demand zones But ultimately - a trade strategy and its execution is what is more important. Bitcoin and various alts... exhibiting signs of the weekly stoch remaining overbought at the moment...”
“Correction 2720s *”
“$ETH Eth has been rangebound for the last several years... I'd like to believe this goes past the previous ath's in terms of a cyclical play... The play for me is simple - I'll keep adding if theres anything meaningful correction... and hedge spot exposure at key macro levels... Bankless sends its regards...”
“$BTC A weekly close around here should all but confirm the 12/25 EMA crossover... Historically, that shift has preceded some strong momentum phases higher. Interim, $82–83k is the key zone. For continuation longs, I want to see price trade through supply and find acceptance above it alongside the 365D rolling VWAP. Do that and there’s scope for the move to accelerate, particularly if shorts are forced to unwind and would look for price to trade the range qtr / value area high around 90k If rejected, $78.5–79k the 3-week composite VAH... is the first level I want to see hold. Lose that and I’d look for rotation back through value towards the opposite extreme as an intraweek trade. On a deeper HTF correction, $68–72k is the major reaction zone, 12/25 bands + macro mid. Hold there and the broader bullish structure remains intact. Even an extended range, imo, is more about accumulating value than invalidating the HTF thesis. My broader bias shifted in July: see earlier tweet. Spot: buying key levels / confirmed breakouts. Perps: trading level to level on both sides - which is mainly what I comment on... separate from the HTF view. Good luck”
“$btc 1st objective traded 👍 2024 value area range poc, confluent with prev months vwap Benson & Hedges https://t.co/2wKeB9H8TG https://t.co/uOGpCCamyj”
“$BTC Pushed on slightly higher than anticipated but nevertheless was a good setup reverse side from 64s for down rotation once it traded through local s/r Would also keep a watch on equities / indices eg soxl sold off aggresively during Asia session (eth) - cash session will be telling imo.”
“$BTC Pushed on slightly higher than anticipated but nevertheless was a good setup reverse side from 64s for down rotation once it traded through local s/r Would also keep a watch on equities / indices eg soxl sold off aggresively during Asia session (eth) - cash session will be telling imo.”
“bitcoin:native Leaning towards price continuing to trade developing Value for the week aheah - 64.5 <> 60.5 For me, the current weekly VWAP becomes the key pivot from here, confluent with monthly VWAP. Expectations - rotation lower - seller from higher Postioned: Remaining short from 81s with long hedge taken off - will be looking for an intraweek play lower.”
“$BTC April Monthly Value Area Low Traded 🎯 81.5 > 71.5 https://t.co/jGYgJnI6u9 https://t.co/dYYaS0s69C”
“@tradermatt 👊”
“$BTC Trading below the key level of 76s 2 week comp low once again. Both weekly and daily 12/25 ema bands exhibit sellers still continue to remain in control. When both are shaped this way, its generally the direction I want to flow with not against - until theres a meaningful push away from the bands into a key level, often confluent with a decent enough liquidation event. Some signs of aggressive buying on perps around these lows - but spot selling flow appears to be the dominant factor. 73.7s - previous month vwap 71s - previous months value area low Overall - I continue to remain short from 81.5s What gives...”
“@trader1sz Im gonna swing short this soon tbh”
“$BTC -Feb highs -12/25 weekly bands -So far exhaustive action into resistance -Rejection on the profile - with price unable to hold above the 2 week high - Sunday timeline pretty excited... https://t.co/YidFj9l6Y6 https://t.co/E3aqZcX8pf”