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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
11
Top 89% · #20 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
32
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
43.8%
7 correct / 9 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
-0.14%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
-4.5%
Equal stake on all 32 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.21%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (32) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 16% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 42.4% | 39 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −7.6% | 79 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.21% | 15 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
70 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC Trading previous months value area... 71K - 79K range 79s strong resistance confluent with both Monthly and 2 week prev comp high 2 Week Prev comp low at 76 - confluent with the 25 weekly ema's Context shifting, heavy sell flows last several days... Break of 76s and thats a full context shift opening the path way to low 70s - with any meaningful short covering rallies with no continuation of buyers likely to be faded... Liquidations likely kick in if pressure under todays lows...”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 55.6% |
45 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.24 | 6 | 25% |
All time · 4h
“@Tom__Capital 🎯”
“@trader1sz I think its one of those assets where... If it does give another leg lower then... 1. DCA on the way up - right hand side of a trend 2. Buy a bag - set and forget... 3. Eth often moves late / post btc run... so there's that to contemplate 1.x k > 5k = good bet imo”
“@Br0dr1 @trader1sz No brainer bitcoin is a good pick up over the next few weeks / months But still very good for those of us who enjoy short term trades vs investing Can do both… Same for equities - better off swing longs tbh but decent for day trading either way”
“@trader1sz Im gonna swing short this soon tbh”
“bitcoin:native Inefficiency traded into previous consolidation before the bigger drop in Feb Been fascinating watching the flows Continous aggressive sells being soaked by passive flows... offers lifted - shorts choked... price pops higher... will keep happening until the aggressors are longs opening into resistance for not much gain vs sellers forcing it down with no luck... Would like to see a move up into supply at 83/84 and eth to take out its highs around 25s H1 - 12/25 been intact nicely - first signs of weakness is when momentum dissipates. Conditions been great for ltf rotations”
“The only reason I short Bitcoin is because I’ve proven to myself that I can execute it well. The profits ultimately rotate back into spot BTC. HTF, nothing changes just because we’ve pulled back from 125s. The goal remains buying perceived value, wherever that appears. I don’t view spot BTC through binary “bullish above / bearish below” levels - if the HTF bands show momentum then I want to flow in that direction - right hand side of the V. Over the long run Bitcoin is an asset that I believe will continue going up and to the right. As a trader, I’ll long discounts or short edge zones / hedge, but successful shorts simply become another way to accumulate more spot Bitcoin at perceived value. Thats all there is to it for me- the bull/bear argument becomes irrelevant...”
“$BTC 76s has been a key pivotal level for me the last several days - with the overnight singles at 77.5s capping price. Compression into and through the 75.7 level is a sign of continued weakness and opens up a thin pathway to 73s imo - currently positioned for downside as per the post from last week (see thread) Local support 75.7 Local resistance 77.5 Developing w-poc and daily developing d-poc 76.8 Cheers”
“$BTC -Feb highs -12/25 weekly bands -So far exhaustive action into resistance -Rejection on the profile - with price unable to hold above the 2 week high - Sunday timeline pretty excited... https://t.co/YidFj9l6Y6 https://t.co/E3aqZcX8pf”
“$BTC My main focus is previous weeks range... Brief upside moves that fail to hold tend to cast doubt on the likelihood of a genuine breakout, for which I'll continue to position for weakness, until proven otherwise. I still have no clear indication about what happens next... Possible third drive into feb highs is still for as long as previous weeks VAH / Mondays highs hold... through there then I think its far less likely outcome...”