@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
45
Top 55% · #12 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
25
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
54.5%
6 correct / 5 incorrect · 14 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+1.00%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+24.9%
Equal stake on all 25 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.35%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (52) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.3% | 30 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −47.8% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.35% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
38 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@Stoiiic 📝”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 47.8% |
33 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 67 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“$BTC and Alts Thus far, price has largely played out as anticipated and in line with how I've positioned tactically. Nowadays, I use charts more as a compass to frame areas of interest. Execution itself comes down to reading flows, positioning and how participants respond at key inflection points. As for Bitcoin, keeping things relatively simple. The September 21 breakout origin around 81.7k fuelled by short liquidations saw price push into 87s. We've since rotated back into that area and tested it several times - (confluent with mondays lows) In a market showing genuine upside conviction, you'd generally expect buyers to defend that origin and establish acceptance higher. Repeated tests without meaningful upside displacement aren't particularly encouraging from a tactical perspective. Doesn't necessarily mean we break down, but it does raise questions about the underlying strength of demand.... For now, I'm positioned and hedged for potential downside continuation. Acceptance back above the 85s would have me reassess and begin rolling off the hedge. Equally, I'm interested in buying opportunities, but I'd want to see a shift in momentum, evidence of buyers stepping in with conviction and an ability to sustain higher prices.... Ultimately, no attachment to a directional bias. It's about recognising where the balance of control sits, how that changes and positioning accordingly. If looks like a range, trades like a range then it probably is a _ _ _ _ _ <insert missing word> Cheers”
“Correction 2720s *”
“$ETH remains rotatational within Monday’s 100-point--ish range, rejecting the 1720s again. Very good intraday/intraweek conditions, but direction remains unresolved. 29s remain the more significant resistance above. Trade there and I’d expect BTC to revisit 86s. Until then, resistance is resistance at 1720s until proven otherwise. Let the liquidity games continue.”
“@canetorin eth next would be nice....”
“@FredWick7 Repeat of a similar period in 2025 seems to be on the cards ...”
“And that’s why I’ve never been a huge fan of rigid trading plans being shared ahead of time... Took the long above 2710s. Liquidations came in, with no passive support - the information changed, so I cut it. Price trading back under 2720... flipped short. You’re not going to get that from a signal service. Have scenarios mapped out ahead of time, understand the why behind them, then remain fluid enough to respond to the information the market actually generates.... cut and reverse drills...”
“$ETH I think we're approaching an area of interest around the local range highs, see the blue levels. Interested to see how price trades around Monday's high. If the right trigger develops, I'd be open to expressing a tactical short for a mean-reversion rotation over the coming weeks - if the trigger is there... Not necessarily a bearish view... simply trading location, structure and the opportunity in front of me. Spot remains largely unchanged - wanting to continue adding on meaningful pullbacks. That's ultimately why I'm comfortable shifting tactically through perps... I can trade both sides of the shorter-term auction without having to over-trade the broader macro spot positioning.”
“Now if the shit hits the fan in Q4... and the market gets dragged down - consider it a gift of an entry tbh...”
“Attached the 12/25 weekly https://t.co/luaAlmWvgv”
“@Tom__Capital 🎯”
“Price auctioned higher but ran into a decent wall of supply around the 365D rolling VWAP, with stacked sells sitting around the June & August swing highs / raneg highs. Was a decent move, but there was still a fair bit of sell-side to chew through if price wanted to continue higher. Current view is pretty simple, 50wma & 365d rvwap are the key contextual levels for me here. If price trades back below the 50w particularly then that’s effectively 3 attempts, 3 rejections - and back below. I’d be looking for a move into previous weeks vwap - rotate lower around 77-78s - should that hold then it becomes interesting again with it being a shallow consolidation - back below here then... I guess if its looks like a range and trades like one - then it probably is one...”
“@ExitLiqCapital Eventually... 0.75 - might take a while but will be worth it imo https://t.co/NayB78NEZ6”
“$BTC For sustained bull-market conditions, I want to see the 50W curve higher with price accepting above it and developing a multi-week/month trend. By that point, the lower 12/21 structure should already be aligned. Trading aside, my very high-timeframe view remains unchanged: Own Bitcoin. 2027 → the debasement trade begins...? LTF, I expect the coming months to offer a much better trading environment — events, volatility and two-way opportunity. Support: Macro mid range - confluent with 12/25s Resistance: 50w Moving average - give or take...”
“Hopefully we see some very good buying opportunities both from a price and structural perspective.... The sit and the waiting part”