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@Trader_XO · Strictly 2σ-3σ
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
45
Top 55% · #12 of 21 ranked
Scored calls
25
7 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
54.5%
6 correct / 5 incorrect · 14 neutral
Avg 30d return / call
+1.00%
Avg return per call (30 day horizon)
Following every call
+24.9%
Equal stake on all 25 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+1.35%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (52) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 20% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 51.3% | 30 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −47.8% | 94 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +1.35% | 39 | 25% |
By month resolved · 30 days horizon
6 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$BTC April Monthly Value Area Low Traded 🎯 81.5 > 71.5 https://t.co/jGYgJnI6u9 https://t.co/dYYaS0s69C”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 47.8% |
33 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 67 | 25% |
All time · 30d
“@tradermatt 👊”
“$BTC Trading below the key level of 76s 2 week comp low once again. Both weekly and daily 12/25 ema bands exhibit sellers still continue to remain in control. When both are shaped this way, its generally the direction I want to flow with not against - until theres a meaningful push away from the bands into a key level, often confluent with a decent enough liquidation event. Some signs of aggressive buying on perps around these lows - but spot selling flow appears to be the dominant factor. 73.7s - previous month vwap 71s - previous months value area low Overall - I continue to remain short from 81.5s What gives...”
“$BTC Fairly contained price action between 76 - 78 with price having spent most of the time trading Mondays range. 76 remains a key level - confluent with May M/O H1, H4 12/25 EMA's still exhibit price weakness. A Daily 12/25 cross - not confirmed... but looking likely Fair chance price trades the set of poor lows established on Monday and Wednesday Still positioned short from 81.5s - with no reason to close out just yet - above the mid range would be a local shift in context - opening a move back towards the highs... Have a fab and blessed weekend all.”
“@Tom__Capital 🎯”
“@trader1sz Im gonna swing short this soon tbh”