@Pentosh1 · full time larp
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
86
Top 14% · #4 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
34
0 pending · 14 unresolved
Hit rate
55.6%
10 correct / 8 incorrect · 16 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.67%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+22.8%
Equal stake on all 34 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.66%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (71) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 21% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 54.4% | 58 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −15.2% | 79 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.66% | 82 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
10 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“$ETH still looks good for 3-3.2k imo and could finally be breaking out after a month of consolidation https://t.co/efe0eK6pBh https://t.co/mWHOaBLPw0”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 63.0% |
55 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.14 | 76 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“$PUMP update, few days of basing and now looking like we could move up. Whether its a LH into 45xx or a new high is yet to be seen but we'll take it as it comes. https://t.co/OpVonQuBWz https://t.co/x6SNKwdXEr”
“Current alt trades updates (outside of majors) eth + sol $PUMP .001701 current .002530. 50%, coming into some resistance soon. Worth trimming. I assume once we cross the .003 range we'll start to see some heavier selling any time we approach ico price as some of those investors want to get out at break even and some unlocks will be sold there that haven't been yet. $HYPE 52.20 current 56.81. Would like to get a good position on if we see 48-52 again. Eth and Sol also never traded under entries either thus far. Although Sol Ill be out of pretty quick here. Have had nearly a 100% hit rate all year on crypto although a small sample size. mostly by doing nothing and taking a few strategic longs. For example the big prev hype rally. And staying out of the way of the big down trends.”
“@philxnft i bought eth in 1700's, pump 1701 lol. i just dont like the upside of crypto and think its going to be crap. its not really that incredibly attractive at all imo. sol is goign to do what a 2-3x this cycle?”
“$PUMP still looking very constructive imo. nice s/r flip potentially forming https://t.co/aYzbtrkENp”
“$PUMP average buy .001701. Good size bag. Will look to add more on dips if given, and likely compound this on the way up. Last time we traded this we hit a 2x. This time I think the upside is a bit higher. Will write a more detailed thesis this week that I . But I think the time to fade this is over and we are going to see a very decent repricing on this. This imo is one of the best r/r setups inside the sol eco. The math, is beginning to math finally.”
“sol is a great example of this, look how clean it is however in the future, this becomes a great level to trade off where you can limit downside, and eventually have the upside. capturing the meat of the move. you can apply this to most charts imo https://t.co/vS40uGM5QB https://t.co/FNBV3IyZpN”
“Has to flip $79 imo on HTF’s and confirm with a 3d+ 1W close. Then from I still think there are far better trades out there. Stocks are moving in many cases many many multiples. In general I think the risk in crypto isn’t worth the returns. And hasn’t been for some time. My view remains to be focused on equities until it stops working”
“A lot of people i've talked to really for some reason just haven't considered how much flows have gone to AI and how much that has taken away from crypto. There are the 3 things you mentioned as net sellers. But you also had OG's cashing out hundreds of thousands of btc at 115-125k as well. and even when you talk to them, they think it's just a bubble it will come back. or that that bubble has to pop. there has been a lack of adjustment, or slow adjustment crypto is mostly a speculative asset. obviously there's a lot of speculation in AI but its far more in it's infancy than crypto. so money flows will more than likely be > there than crypto over the next several years as a whole the robots dont even exist yet for example. the ai energy/data center buildout isn't complete yet. these things are years in the making.”
“You have to think of markets in terms of a pendulum. It swings from high, to low over a large period of time. The pendulum is just the momentum of it. You can often feel the shift as momentum stalls, and the pendulum begins to swing the other way and the momentum shifts again There are times where you will see me not take trades for months, or very few trades like in crypto for the better part of the last year now having been more equities focused It's all at the end of the day some form of human psychology right. The cycle is just greed to fear and fear to greed over and over. I know my strengths and weaknesses. Being in a trade every day isn't one of them. So I try to avoid the chop and wait for those signals. A balance of offense and defense. and putting yourself in a good position to win. not forcing things that aren't there Right now there's a lot of greed in AI, and a lot to support that. Bc this time, it's real. Whether it's government spending, future cost of buildouts etc. Money printing, it's all pretty supportive of that. So I think any big dip given is a huge gift if you've not ridden that momentum. A good strategy from here is probably bitcoin:native as it's likely to swing back the other way. And some ai stocks on any decent dips. So I will try to cover both of these from here on. BTC + equities”