Prediction evidence

1. Baseline: first ETH price at or after publication, $1,918 at 28 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
2. Evaluation: price at the end of the 24 hours horizon, $1,889 at 29 Jul 2026, 16:00 UTC.
3. r = 1889.44 / 1918.2 − 1 = -1.50%
4. Direction d = −1 (bearish), so d × r = +1.50% against a neutral band of ±1.25% → correct

Only the end-of-horizon price counts. A brief move followed by a reversal is not a success. Read the methodology