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@KookCapitalLLC · @TheKookLetter
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
75
Top 25% · #5 of 18 ranked
Scored calls
53
0 pending · 21 unresolved
Hit rate
47.6%
10 correct / 11 incorrect · 32 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
+0.58%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
+30.5%
Equal stake on all 53 calls resolved in the last 90 days
Mean alpha
+0.48%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (64) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 6% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 44.5% | 34 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −12.5% | 19 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.48% | 94 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
11 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“justin sun says he sold 80-90% of his $ETH at $3.6k to $4k ct is calling him a genius now go look at his wallet..... $567m of staked $ETH still sitting in lido and yesterday $28m of $PEPE landed in the same wallet from a poloniex multisig first time he touched $PEPE in over two years to be fair he did say he kept a core bag but a half billion dollar core bag is not a guy whos done with $ETH hes talking it down in interviews while sitting on top of it 😂 $ETH reclaims $3k before sun sells another coin”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 84.6% |
63 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.40 | 88 | 25% |
90 days · 1h
“bitcoin:native wicked under $80k and still liquidated $53m in shorts on the bounce..... this thing will send hard soon https://t.co/GsqTCDL98q”
“arthur hayes this morning: "just trade the eventual multi-trillion dollar bail out. long bitcoin:native ethereum:native " three hours later his wallet bought $888k of alts..... 546.6k base:0x940181a94a35a4569e4529a3cdfb74e38fd98631 for $460k 120k ethereum:0x808507121b80c02388fad14726482e061b8da827 for $232k 3m ethereum:0xa12cc123ba206d4031d1c7f6223d1c2ec249f4f3 for $197k ethereum:0x808507121b80c02388fad14726482e061b8da827 is down 11% on the day base:0x940181a94a35a4569e4529a3cdfb74e38fd98631 down 8% he bought anyway > tells you majors > buys alts himself 😂 the alt bottom is in”
“cpi in an hour and shorts already ate $58m overnight bitcoin:native holds $83.5k..... this thing is about to send https://t.co/lxItI4poEC”
“cpi tomorrow and everyone already got liquidated today bitcoin:native will send with everyone sidelined tomorrow https://t.co/R0ZxStOpYh”
“the sol treasury company is dumping its sol 568,000 solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 to exchanges in 3 days..... $63.9m out the door average buy was $194 they are eating a $46m loss if they finish treasury companies were supposed to be the bid ser https://t.co/6cu8Ku9VwK”
“@HYPEconomist still so under the rader ethereum:0x31eea0edeb85b0cb65c1400bd2f4e487fd61b537 going to $200m+ easily”
“spot keeps eating every dip shorts already vaporized theres only one direction now bitcoin:native https://t.co/RanAxCfEb6”
“matt furie followed and engaged with $hoodrat he has only ever done this before with pepe and brett and those both went to billions ath is coming you were warned!!!! congrats to the holders 🦇 https://t.co/3mnvoxWP1Z”
“$fefer accumulating around $6m all day apparently something big is coming.... the next stage is a violent move up you were warned 🦖 https://t.co/1yEoZnxu1v”
“options are the single best way to capture upside with leverage imagine if the most famous degen trade of all time was executed onchain roaring kitty turned $53k into $34m in 2021 with options what would have happened if he used perps???? he would have gotten cooked liquidated..... even though he was right perps can be good but you can also get hunted and liquidated by 'them' who control markets only to watch your position pump once youre left behind true options products have been the biggest missing piece from onchain trading for a long time @SynapseProtocol is changing that in a huge way the first to add $spcx and now $mu $nvda and more with over $55b in total volume token has retraced -70% from the highs where arthur hayes bought in (lol) time to start accumulating again imo options are the missing piece of onchain $syn is the best way to express the bet”