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@KillaXBT · Unclaimed · Rank #32 (Top 36%) · All time · 4 hours horizon How it’s ranked
Quantitative trader, 7 years.
Coverage 5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Calls
183
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
51.4%
94 correct / 89 incorrect · 0 neutral
ROI
+0.1%
Average return per call: what following every call with an equal stake returned
Max drawdown
−0.0%
Worst peak-to-trough of following every call, as a share of the stake
Streak
2
Right calls in a row, newest first; neutral results are skipped
Coverage
190d
5 May 2026 – 11 Nov 2026
Best call
+5.7%“I have a small spot $SOL allocation. I’m not particularly bullish on it long term, but I think there’s a good chance we see something like this play out once $BTC starts trending higher again. Personally, I’m targeting a 75–100% move here, nothing too crazy. Patience. https://t.co/OCxR2COmtg https://t.co/uCmZZPe7fq”
Worst call
-3.5%“$BTC We are -3% after my 5th Pivot. Standard Procedure.✅ https://t.co/vMZEg8bhcI https://t.co/Qmq55Sctqc”
Every token @KillaXBT has called, most recent first. The badge is their latest call on it. 3 tokens, all time.
Last called 9 Nov 2026 · 245 calls since 5 May 2026
161 bullish · 84 bearish
Last called 2 Nov 2026 · 7 calls since 7 Jun 2026
5 bullish · 2 bearish
Last called 17 Oct 2026
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
705 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
| Posted (UTC) | Call | Asset | Direction | Price at post | Horizon | Price at horizon | Return | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jun 2026, 15:30 | “$BTC Closed 25% of my swing short here at 71K. Keeping the remaining 25% position open until either the full TP target is reached or break even. https://t.co/3YgkX7iccA https://t.co/0GocwEDNbo” |
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All time · 4h
| BTC |
| ▼ Bearish |
| $71,246 |
| 4h |
| $71,547 |
| +0.4% |
| incorrect |
| 1 Jun 2026, 14:34 | “$BTC "If we fail to reclaim and hold 74.2K as support, the next likely target is 70.8K." As we can see, BTC failed to reclaim the 74.2K level, resulting in a significant rejection and a move lower. The next key level to watch is 70.8K. Lose the 70K area & we likely see capitulation to 65K on the HTF.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $71,343 | 4h | $71,528 | +0.3% | incorrect |
| 1 Jun 2026, 11:09 | “Major update regarding bitcoin:native So, you've probably noticed that I've started gradually adding more BTC spot around 74K. Since people on this app often like to twist narratives, take things out of context, and muddle the message, I think it's important to clearly explain my current stance. That's exactly what I'll do in this post. First and foremost, I have been bearish for 8 months straight. Through my thesis, analysis, and TA, I was able to avoid the price action where most people get rekt, which is bear market price action. In doing so, I avoided a 50% drop whilst capitalizing on my public swing shorts. A typical bear market lasts around 300 to 350 days. BTC is currently on day 237. I have stated multiple times that I expect BTC to push lower into the August period. I have also stated that my estimated bottom based on historical cycles sits in the 45K to 55K region. That means one of my current buys at 74K could potentially be 25% to 30% underwater. A lot of people are asking, "If you're confident in your thesis, why are you buying again at 74K?" The answer is simple. Investing and trading are two different things. BTC is currently down 41% from the highs. At most, I believe we probably see another 25% to 30% decline. That means more than 65% of the bear market retracement has already occurred. Essentially, buying at 74K today, if historical cycles continue to play out, is comparable to buying around 30K during the last cycle, which ultimately worked out very well. It doesn't matter how good you are as a trader or how much money you have. What matters is recognizing when the risk to reward profile begins shifting in your favor and positioning accordingly. I think BTC will be sitting somewhere in the 160K to 200K range next cycle. Yes, those are bold targets and bold predictions, but they are not unrealistic. They are rooted in historical returns, diminishing returns, and cycle data. That means buying around 70K today could potentially generate 100% to 150% returns over the next few years, significantly outperforming legacy markets and gold, even in a diminishing returns environment. On the other hand, if BTC does reach my 45K to 55K bottom zone, that's another 25% to 30% downside from current levels. So the question you need to ask yourself is simple: Would you miss a potential 100% to 150% move higher over the next few years because you were worried about a possible 25% to 30% drawdown? For me, the answer is no. Even if that means sitting through temporary drawdowns in the short term. Now, I am both a swing trader and an investor. My current swing trade is still a short position, which I have been holding for nearly two months. The objective of that short position is to trade the current market structure, which remains bearish. I am not focused on being bullish until the structure itself turns bullish. That is not flip flopping. It is simply two different strategies with two different objectives. On the higher timeframes, I am an investor and a buyer. On the intermediate timeframes, I am following trend and structure, positioning accordingly until I see evidence that the trend has shifted. As most of you know, people on X love to take things out of context without understanding objectives or timeframe alignment, which is why I wanted to clarify exactly how I am thinking about the market right now. Additionally, many of the higher timeframe cycle indicators are beginning to shift. When BTC reached 126K, most of the traditional cycle top indicators never reached peak euphoria. In fact, many remained well below previous cycle extremes. These indicators are a major component of my higher timeframe investing framework. What I am noticing is a divergence. During the bull market, many metrics failed to reach historical euphoria levels. At the same time, during the bear market, extreme capitulation readings are also becoming less severe and are not reaching the depths seen in previous cycles. In other words, the cycles themselves appear to be evolving. Volatility is compressing. Market behavior is changing. That means adaptation is necessary, and it also means we should remain open to the possibility that future cycles may not play out exactly as they have in the past. Whether that happens this cycle or the next is impossible to know with certainty. What I do know is that when the math, probabilities, and risk to reward are in my favor, I am simply a buyer. That's it. I have attached a few charts outlining the plan I had from 100K+, the areas where I intended to become a buyer, and several metrics showing that extreme capitulation zones continue to become shallower over time. Volatility compression suggests there is a real possibility that future bear markets become less violent and less dramatic than what we have historically experienced. Hopefully this post clears up any confusion regarding my current stance. It took a while to write, but I felt it was necessary. Let me know if you would like me to do more posts like this in the future.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 31 May 2026, 23:12 | “Decided to buy 3 bitcoin:native spot @ 74K. Yes, I expect BTC to move lower & I am fully prepared for the drawdown. My plan is simple. If BTC drops to $65,000, I'll buy another 3 BTC. If it drops to $60,000, I'll buy another 3. If it drops to $55,000, I'll buy another 3, and I'll keep adding size on the way down. I'm not worried about drawdowns, I welcome them. Lower prices just mean a chance to accumulate more. I might be swing short, but don't confuse me as a perma bear. The bear phase is running out of time, and it's becoming increasingly obvious that the next 3-4 months from now will be behind us. From my perspective, the RR on the quarterly timeframe is heavily stacked in favor of the bulls. So please, send the price lower @cz_binance, I want to load more.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 31 May 2026, 15:49 | “Now we are talking. If $BTC can't reclaim the May MO/CME gap above, then structure suggests further downside. Nothing to do with my bias. A failed retest and rejection back into the range would mean 70K is next, followed by 65K and potentially lower if the trend continues lower. It wouldn't be any different from any other cycle.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 31 May 2026, 12:26 | “$BTC It's that time again, monthly close day. BTC is currently dumping off into June. While I still expect June to finish in the red, I think there's a good chance we see an early month relief rally first. A short term push higher over the first week or so could occur before further downside.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 May 2026, 21:33 | “$BTC In the end, it really was the most important chart to watch. We saw a very similar pattern to what played out in 2022. We front ran the retest of the BOS, exactly the same as last cycle. If this pattern continues to mirror 2022, BTC likely has room to move lower, while USDT.D could push up and test higher levels within a range similar to what we saw back then. That would suggest more consolidation, more choppy price action, and ultimately more time to build long term positions and accumulate spot entries... Which I do not see as a bad thing. 🫰” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 30 May 2026, 18:35 | “Sorry to break the news $BTC ... This looks like a textbook retrace back into the range. It's probably safe to say that any retests into this grey box are worth paying attention to, especially as potential bearish retests on the first revisit. https://t.co/Mlho5OxZY8” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,943 | 4h | $73,708 | -0.3% | correct |
| 30 May 2026, 14:35 | “$BTC Nothing much to update regarding the swing short position. I'm still holding 50% of the original size, as mentioned previously. I closed 50% at 80K to reduce risk in case my thesis was wrong. Given the current retrace back into the range, I think there's a good chance we test 70K next month. If price continues to hold below 79K, this is increasingly looking like a failed breakout that has retraced back into the range after deviating above the previous highs. We can test LTF S/R levels like 75-76K but ideally bulls need to flip the 79K level to be "bullish" again. Additionally, I expect SP500 to experience a pullback at some point this year, which could add further weakness to BTC. That's another factor I'm monitoring closely. At 70.8K, I plan to close another 25% of the short position and leave the remaining 25% open until the final take profit target is reached.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | $73,947 | 4h | $73,943 | -0.0% | correct |
| 30 May 2026, 10:47 | “This is the year. The year of lower prices. The year $BTC underperforms against everything. The year of opportunity. But also the year of doubt. Make sure to stack your $BTC spot gradually. Holders always win. https://t.co/TRzJZmHvpu” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 14:28 | “$BTC Same shit. Different month. ✅ https://t.co/YvMZ41vqVx https://t.co/tbEIupHZSU” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 11:56 | “If we're following what happens after May in every $BTC bear market, Q2–Q3 is not looking pretty. So, is this time going to be different? https://t.co/aJzqpbWe65 https://t.co/Pf9tYmgyzj” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 29 May 2026, 10:21 | “Observing the current bitcoin:native structure, we have hit quite the key areas. The May monthly wick hunted the previous wick high, and we can see it's now looking to close red. As stated in previous posts, we have never had more than 3 green monthly candles in a bear market, so it would make sense for this candle to close red (which indeed it looks like it will). We saw structure shift the moment price broke 79K. We have seen lower highs and lower lows since, breaking back to the middle range after a 45-day uptrend. In terms of what I am doing and what I am looking for, I am still in the swing short from 77.8K. Nothing has changed regarding that. I never said I closed the entire position. I did mention I closed 50% to protect myself, which I would later regret, but protecting risk comes first. I would first be observing the 74.2K region. If we are unable to flip this area, there is a very good chance we test the May monthly low again (box below extending to 70.5K). If we do manage to flip 74.2K with force and acceptance above the PWL, then we push to the May monthly open, which is at 76.3K. Given that we are in a macro downtrend and now in an LTF downtrend, observing these retests is going to be quite key. Because theoretically, longs are counter-trend, but that doesn't mean you can't make money on the quick bounces back upwards. So I would observe the 72.6K–70.5K region for scalps, targeting 3–4% back upwards. If BTC maintains a strong bearish structure, observe the retests of key levels. If we cannot flip important areas, trade the trend. Hopefully, we get a retest of 76.3K for scalp short entries, but sometimes in downtrends the retests are shallow and you do not get them (hence still being swing short). Until then, we seem to be following history and the thesis which I have been outlining. Only time will tell what happens next from now into August. On top of that, S&P 500 has yet to see a meaningful retrace, which I believe will occur later this year and could mark the true pivot bottom. Whether that comes in the form of a new low or a higher low remains to be seen.” | BTC | ▼ Bearish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 28 May 2026, 16:53 | “People should be grateful the market has given us another dip. It gives you more time to buy $BTC spot. Sure, there’s short term pain, but I have always preached holders almost always outperform in the long run. I would use this time to start planning your entries and building long term spot positions slowly. Don’t overthink it too much, in a few years, you’ll probably be glad you bought. Worst case scenario, we see another 25% downside, which is minor in grand scheme of things.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | — | 4h | — | — | unscored |
| 28 May 2026, 11:20 | “The biggest $BTC psyop was making everyone think I was wrong. That’s what the algo was waiting for. A tweet from the guy who’s been right for 8 months straight getting pushed onto everyone’s timeline. Thanks for playing. 🤟 The Discord OGs already know what the plan behind that tweet was. If you paid close attention to my tweets, positioning, analysis, and expectations, you could probably read between the lines and understand where I was leaning and what I was anticipating based on historical price action. The market will probably bounce soon cause MMs are p*ssed.” | BTC | ▲ Bullish | $73,299 | 4h | $72,723 | -0.8% | incorrect |
