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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 4 more calls to rank
Scored calls
11
0 pending · 0 unresolved
Hit rate
66.7%
4 correct / 2 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 4h return / call
+0.12%
Avg return per call (4 hour horizon)
Following every call
+1.3%
Equal stake on all 11 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.09%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (73) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 36% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 64.9% | 81 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −0.8% | 100 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.09% | 25 | 25% |
By month resolved · 4 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 4h
4 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“My expectations going into the coming week is that it won't be as bearish as the consensus is. We've just had a terrible week on the indices. Crypto has seen a relatively normal correction. I wouldn't be surprised if we're hitting the low of this correction somewhere in this week on #Bitcoin and indices and that we'll start to get some momentum again.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
100 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.11 | 81 | 25% |
“The markets are selling off during the weekend, as tokenized stocks have dropped substantially over the weekend. Is that a huge problem? That might be the case, however it's quite clear that there's a lot of fear among the markets. Liquidity of tokenized stocks isn't there yet, meaning that these corrections can happen quite quickly in a weekend with widespread demonstrations and all sort of news-related items. Aside from that, from a trading perspective, if there's going to be a continued correction taking place on the markets, I'd be willing to buy the dip on #Bitcoin and #Altcoins.”
“That's a possible bullish divergence on $ETH indicating that we're reversing back upwards here. https://t.co/gcUCxNxvFq https://t.co/fF5aPFAqUz”
“Honestly, I don't fancy the #Bitcoin chart as much, right now. It couldn't break through the $84,000 resistance level and is therefore showing weakness. It seems to be that, if $82,000 is also acting as resistance, the most obvious spot for a long will be <$80,000 as that liquidity is likely to be taken.”