Loading…
@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
66
Top 34% · #8 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
401
1 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
52.4%
209 correct / 190 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.36%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+144.8%
Equal stake on all 401 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (69) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.4% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −50.4% | 27 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.28% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“As #Bitcoin continues to hold above the 21-Day MA and 50-Day MA, I continue to expect a rally towards $73,000 and potentially $83,000. https://t.co/Rg78Ts3boh”
Think your calls are better?
Get ranked on the same rules, or challenge @CryptoMichNL head to head.
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 73 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“The bull cycles of 2017, 2021 and 2024 all started by the fact that the Dollar fell down. Trump wants a weaker dollar, now Japan needs a weaker dollar too. That's why tomorrow is important, are the Japanese Yields going to go down and the Dollar continue to fall, that's a strong trigger for a multi-month run on #Crypto and #Bitcoin.”
“If the strength on the Japanese Yen continues, and the Dollar continues to fall, It's very likely that the Yields on Government bonds will go down. It's very likely that liquidity flows towards risk-on assets. #Bitcoin's bull run then has started.”
“The previous time that the Nasdaq bounced upwards from the lows resulted into the recent rally of #Bitcoin from $66,000 to $83,000. I think we're close to a similar situation where then Nasdaq is likely to bounce upwards and #Bitcoin will outperform to the same regions. https://t.co/FiPMD3k8q1”
“As long as $ETH remains above the 21-Day MA and the 50-Day MA, higher prices are likely going to follow. Today; - PCE Inflation - Advance GDP Big day for macroeconomic data and as Warsh mentioned, they'll be monitoring the data and the market response on their policy. If data is right, I would expect the Nasdaq to bounce and probably the momentum shifts quite quickly towards the Clarity Act. For now, I expect to see higher prices on Ethereum.”
“Muy grande news. Absolutely another big drop coming in tomorrow with this close in the markets. I wouldn't expect to see a lot of bounce, unless: - PCE comes in better than expected. - Oil comes down and the current escalation is over. If neither happen, we'll continue to fall with #Bitcoin and Nasdaq.”
“This is an important day, regardless. #Bitcoin continues to hold onto the lower timeframe uptrend, but quickly losing $63,000 and a test of $61,000 and losing confidence is the next phase. All eyes on the FOMC, probably nothing changes and no rate hikes take place, the more important is what Warsh will do forward-looking. CPI and PPI data has come down.”
“Classic dump taking place pre-FOMC, like it always happens. Traders fear a potential outcome that isn't favourable for the markets, so they sell their risk-on assets like $BTC and $NQ.”
“The markets for tokenized US Treasuries has gone vertical. The entire RWA sector is booming. My main plays on this? - $ONDO - $PLUME - $LINK They'll thrive and it's only going to be a matter of time until the markets and valuations are going to follow suit. https://t.co/FnFeTrgjks”
“To be fair; the most undervalued asset right now in the #Crypto markets is $ETH. I'd be surprised if we look back in five years and say: well, $2,000 was too expensive back then. The Clarity Act comes in and provides the framework to build on. Infrastructure plays like $ETH are going to be the big gainers from this, and as it's finally breaking out of a 4-year downtrend against $BTC, it's time to be betting heavily on this on.”
“The markets look like they want to continue to rally and $ETH is the strongest force for that. I'd preferably see it hold above $1,800. If that's the case, then it's a matter of time until we're going to see numbers that are north of $2,000. https://t.co/PKKKkQwDTn”
“A very solid bounce on $BTC. A massive wick in the South Korean Stock markets implying that the low is hit there. In my theory; $NQ and $BTC go up from that perspective. FOMC tonight as well, most likely the markets are pricing in extreme fear. I would assume that we're going to continue rallying upwards here, as #Bitcoin remains to be acting fairly strong.”
“$ETH continues to show strength, therefore carrying the rest of the markets alongside. It's back above 0.03 and I think it's going to be back above $2,000 fairly soon. Today was a dip for buying. https://t.co/gECGhulRXQ”
“Fairly strong daily candle on $BTC. I think we'll target $68,000 in early August again, and are likely going to break out of that fairly soon to $75,000+. https://t.co/wOPafm6qB1”
“The primary reason that we've seen the markets come back down at the open on $NQ and $BTC is probably due to $KOSPI. Investors in the Southern Korean stock markets need to offset their risk by selling other assets in order to hedge their downfall. The moment $KOSPI bounces, we'll likely see a strong move on both of the other assets occur.”