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@CryptoMichNL · CIO & Founder @MNFund_ and @MNCapital_vc | Host of @new_era_finance | Macro-Economics, Value Based Investing & Trading | Crypto & Bitcoin Enthusiast
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 21 Oct 2026
Caller Score
66
Top 34% · #8 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
401
1 pending · 16 unresolved
Hit rate
52.4%
209 correct / 190 incorrect · 2 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.36%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+144.8%
Equal stake on all 401 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
+0.28%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (69) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 28% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 52.4% | 82 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −50.4% | 27 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.28% | 64 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
1077 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“@camelfinance $450 dollar per $ETH? Well, I think we're closer to the bottom than I previously imagined.”
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| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 100.0% |
97 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.10 | 73 | 25% |
All time · 24h
“Many people believe the upcoming cycle will be weak for #Bitcoin, since the previous one was. They'll be selling their assets too early and handing them over to the smart ones.”
“I don't think we'll have diminishing returns as I think the theory is flawed. We're on the edge of the biggest adoption curve for #Bitcoin and #Crypto. Gold has just seen its largest breakout in history. #Bitcoin is about to follow, and that's why I don't expect the cycle to peak at $320,000. I generally believe we'll run to $500,000+.”
“He hasn't been moving the markets. I'm glad that @saylor decided to sell $BTC as that's a bullish trigger for the markets. Why? Due to the fact that he's been selling Bitcoin last week, the theory of him impacting the markets will diminish. Markets went up. Saylor sold $100M+ in #Bitcoin. No reason to fear the markets. What he does is irrelevant. Now, let's move the markets up.”
“The trend has shifted for $ETH. It's now in an uptrend from here, which means you'd want to buy the dips. I expect it to outperform vs. $BTC. https://t.co/yOQjeVUSgd”
“A strong signal for the markets. The basis trade has kept everyone short $BTC futures for years, which is why you're seeing a huge amount of net negative positioning in futures. The only occasion when this didn't happen was the 2025 breakout from $75K to $125K. Right now, the same signal is evident in the markets, indicating that traders want to flip long despite the net-negative basis trade strategy. Bullish!”
“A deep correction on $SOL vs. $BTC. However, the recent push upwards is a strong signal on why you should be buying after these corrections have been taking place. It's up 5% since the test of this region and I think that we're going to see a stronger move upwards on $SOL. The reason is the strong confirmation that it formed a higher low. That means that I think we'll see $100-120 happening in the foreseeable future.”
“$BTC is ready for a breakout to atleast $73,700. To me, there's one critical level to break. That's the weekly level at $65,800. When I'm looking at the charts, I don't think we'll test lower as the arguments are simply not there. ➡️ The MACD of multiple #Altcoins look similar and multiple of them have been breaking out. That argument alone provides a strong case for Bitcoin to break upwards. ➡️ Strong bullish divergence on the 3-Day and 1-Week timeframe on the MACD. ➡️ Strong bullish divergence on the 3-Day and 1-Week timeframe on the RSI. Similarly to the 2022 bottom. ➡️ The long side liquidity has been taken multiple times and markets refuse to break downwards. What targets does that give? To me, there are two; - $73,700 - $82,900 If the latter is tested, we're testing the 50-Week MA and are having the first bull market rally and are done with the bear market. All in all, if $65,800 breaks (which is the crucial weekly level), I expect to see a volatile move upwards as short-side liquidity will be forced to move out of its position after this consolidation.”
“The key trigger for #Altcoins to be moving and changing momentum is the following: ➡️ Multiple strong bullish divergences on higher timeframes (1D, 3D, 1W) ➡️ Break above the 21-Day & 50-Day MA. ➡️ Construct the first higher high and higher low after a continuous downtrend. ➡️ Increased volume. Multiple altcoins are doing this already: $AAVE, $UNI, $PUMP. More of them are ready to follow and the more that these are doing it, the heavier the moves will be.”
“I'm very bullish for the coming period on several protocols: - $NEAR, $TAO, $ONDO, $PLUME - Layer 1's: $SUI, sei-network:native, $SOL - $ETH ecosystem including DeFi protocols as $MORPHO, $AAVE, $CRV, $UNI - US 'approved' protocols like $ALGO and more It's going to be a great period to be trading the markets going forward.”
“I'm very bullish for the coming period on several protocols: - $NEAR, $TAO, $ONDO, $PLUME - Layer 1's: $SUI, sei-network:native, $SOL - $ETH ecosystem including DeFi protocols as $MORPHO, $AAVE, $CRV, $UNI - US 'approved' protocols like $ALGO and more It's going to be a great period to be trading the markets going forward.”
“I'm very bullish for the coming period on several protocols: - $NEAR, $TAO, $ONDO, $PLUME - Layer 1's: $SUI, sei-network:native, $SOL - $ETH ecosystem including DeFi protocols as $MORPHO, $AAVE, $CRV, $UNI - US 'approved' protocols like $ALGO and more It's going to be a great period to be trading the markets going forward.”
“There we go. The date is now set for the Clarity Act to be voted on in the United States. A little more than a month away. What does that mean? Very likely we'll see a run upwards with a lot of hype on #DeFi, $ETH and other US based protocols. 'Buy the rumor, sell the news' type of event.”
“@crypto_birb Upside in previous bull market has been a full sigma lower than the bull markets before that. Counting that we're going to see the same bear market drawdowns as all of the bear markets before is therefore not very likely, it would be a massive outlier.”
“Definitely a high possibility that we've seen the low for #Bitcoin. https://t.co/9xedV2c0Bl”