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@CryptoKaleo · καλέω: to call This is my journal Co-Founder - @LedgArt_io
Coverage 15 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
—
Low sample: 6 more calls to rank
Scored calls
9
1 pending · 2 unresolved
Hit rate
25.0%
1 correct / 3 incorrect · 5 neutral
Avg 24h return / call
+0.93%
Avg return per call (24 hour horizon)
Following every call
+8.4%
Equal stake on all 9 calls resolved in the last 7 days
Mean alpha
+0.56%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (45) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 22% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 18.8% | 13 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −15.2% | 13 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | +0.56% | 40 | 25% |
By month resolved · 24 hours horizon
Not enough history in this window for a trend.
7 days · 24h
2 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“#Bitcoin / $BTC I still believe it's worth having cash sitting on the sidelines to max bid mid / late November. BTC has bottomed shortly after midterms (11/3) the last two bear markets. Strategy potentially getting removed from MSCI indexes for being a "non-operating company" is also a bigger deal than people are giving it credit for. JP Morgan estimated that exclusion from MSCI indexes could trigger ~$2.8 billion in passive sales for $MSTR. Which resurfaces the Strategy / MSTR / STRC fears from earlier this summer... Wanted to see $100K and new ATHs asap, but charts look weaker than I'd like and I think it's important to derisk while majors are still at a relatively strong spot.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 71.4% |
70 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | 0.08 | 80 | 25% |
“Best hedge (in my opinion) for the market taking one last leg down is a 10X short on $STRC on HyperLiquid as long as funding is positive and the price is anywhere in the $99 range for an entry. As long as the peg remains near $100 and the market is bullish, you'll actually most likely print a higher APY than just holding STRC... Odds of getting liquidated are practically zero due to Strategy printing more STRC anytime it hits $100. And if the market does happen to crash and STRC depegs again, you get all of the upside of that move. So you basically get a free hedge for extreme downside volatility vs. trying to short Bitcoin and dealing with potential losses if the market rips higher. You're welcome.”