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@CryptoBusy · Crypto Educators & Market Analyst | #Bitcoin Trader Since 2017 | Early-Stage Alpha Hunter: RWA, AI, DePIN, L1/L2, Web3 Gaming
Coverage 23 Apr 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
Caller Score
32
Top 68% · #15 of 22 ranked
Scored calls
111
0 pending · 1 unresolved
Hit rate
51.1%
24 correct / 23 incorrect · 64 neutral
Avg 1h return / call
-0.01%
Avg return per call (1 hour horizon)
Following every call
-1.4%
Equal stake on all 111 calls resolved so far
Mean alpha
-0.01%
Return minus the same bet on BTC (BTC calls vs cash)
Each component is shrunk toward the cohort mean by sample size (k = 20) and ranked as a percentile among callers in this view; the weighted blend (43) orders the cohort, and the Caller Score is the position in it. 10% of these calls stated a timeframe.
| Component | Value | Percentile | Weight |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hit rateShare of directional calls that were right (neutral moves excluded) | 50.3% | 64 | 20% |
| Follow-the-calls drawdownWorst peak-to-trough of taking every call at equal stake (lower is better) | −9.7% | 52 | 15% |
| Mean alphaAverage return minus the same bet on BTC over the same period | -0.01% | 21 | 25% |
By month resolved · 1 hour horizon
24 records · every scored call links to its source post and price evidence
“solana:85VBFQZC9TZkfaptBWjvUw7YbZjy52A6mjtPGjstQAmQ finally broke above $0.019 after multiple failed attempts, rallying over 60% toward $0.030. Strong buying momentum confirms the breakout, but a short-term pullback is possible. Next resistance: $0.030-$0.031. Holding above $0.019 keeps the bullish structure intact.”
| ConsistencyShare of the window's weeks (days for short windows) with a scored call |
| 92.6% |
73 |
| 15% |
| Risk-adjusted returnMean alpha divided by the volatility of the assets called | -0.02 | 24 | 25% |
All time · 1h
“After the recent rally above $80K, on-chain data shows long-term holders are realizing more profits than short-term holders. This helps explain why $BTC is struggling to hold above $80K despite strong momentum. The trend remains strong, but $BTC needs to absorb profit-taking before the next leg higher.”
“$BTC is trading around $77K, after rallying more than 20% from the mid $60Ks and reaching nearly $79.5K last week! 🚨 The market is now consolidating after the sharp move. $BTC remains bullish above support, but breaking $80K is the next major test.”
“$ETH’s Binance NUPL has returned to around -0.35, a zone that historically appeared near major price floors! 🚨 Previous visits to this level were followed by periods of recovery. https://t.co/i9peTiK3Bf”
“Treasury yields remain elevated, keeping financial conditions tight even without another rate hike! 🚨 Higher yields can continue to pressure liquidity, making the macro environment challenging for risk assets like $BTC. https://t.co/PP7b7jLKd2”
“base:0xb9e1fd5a02d3a33b25a14d661414e6ed6954a721 is breaking out as confidence returns. The team has fully restored the mainnet after completing its security review and remediation. Price has reclaimed its multi-month range, with momentum turning bullish again. Keeping an eye on this! $SOL narrative coming up?”
“ethereum:0xddb3422497e61e13543bea06989c0789117555c5 just ripped out of a 6 month descending wedge. Catalyst: private stablecoin launch for enterprise payments. Volume +3,380%. Chart's been coiling since Feb, this is the release. Watch for a retest of the wedge line as new support.”
“$ETH is about 17% below its realized price, suggesting it is trading at a discount. However, historical bottom signals have not fully aligned yet, meaning the market may still need more time before a confirmed bottom forms. https://t.co/McDQOpxMrw”
“US spot Bitcoin ETFs have attracted $439 million so far this week, showing institutional demand is improving! 🚨 At the same time, the Coinbase discount is narrowing, suggesting selling pressure is easing. If ETF inflows continue, it could provide stronger support for $BTC. https://t.co/cCnhXlZZec”
“@CryptoTony__ The bigger trend stays intact as long as key support holds, and pullbacks into demand are usually where patience pays off rather than chasing strength.”
“The first bitcoin:native bottom flag has appeared! But according to history, the market may still experience more stress before this bearish phase ends! https://t.co/We8JxO31EK”
“solana:So11111111111111111111111111111111111111112 on a bullish divergence! Time to keep an eye on this breakout! I miss the trenches. Lol https://t.co/hSyCowV2UT https://t.co/LI7Gs1jiak”
“bitcoin:native correcting hard after the parabolic run! ETF outflows + saylor selling narrative + war/oil + Fed hawkishness + rotation into AI doing the damage. Long-term thesis still alive, but near-term pain until flows turn or Fed pivots. Watching that $60k zone closely. But if it breaks, 49K is still a possibility.”
“Public companies now hold 1.14M bitcoin:native Worth $74.07B at current prices. And the chart tells a story most people are missing. Look at the blue bars - bitcoin:native holdings. They have gone up every single month since January 2025. But here's what we are seeing: Price dropped from $109K to $60K But the bars kept going up. The gold line is the dollar value of those holdings. It dropped with price - that is expected. But the bitcoin:native count never dropped. Big institutions are accumulating more during dips. From 450K BTC in January 2025 to 1.14M BTC today. That is a 2.5x increase in holdings during one of the worst drawdowns in crypto. Public companies are not trading BTC. I still think the repricing is coming.”
“@MartiniGuyYT I agree this is a key level to watch. Until $BTC decisively reclaims $75k, liquidity positioning still suggests caution rather than aggressively calling for a short squeeze.”